NFL Sunday Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Super Wild Card)
Sunday’s NFL playoff tripleheader has no shortage of options to pick from for same-game parlays (SGP) in each contest. The first game has inclement weather that could lead to a run-heavy approach for both teams. The second and third games are indoors, and the passers and some of their pass-catching weapons should thrive.
Sunday NFL Doubleheader Best Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills SGP
- Leg 1: James Cook Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Leg 2: Josh Allen Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Jaylen Warren Over 55.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
The Bills have flipped the script with Joe Brady as the offensive coordinator, turning into a run-first team. The approach can help them immensely in cold, windy, snowy Buffalo on Sunday night. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Bills had a 54% situation-neutral rush rate in their final four games in the regular season.
James Cook has spearheaded Buffalo’s backfield, handling 74 of the backfield’s 107 rushing opportunities since Week 15. He converted his rush attempts into 333 rushing yards and 4.5 yards per carry, besting 66.5 rushing yards twice.
Cook has a favorable matchup on the ground. According to The 33rd Team, running backs have averaged 87 rushing yards per game at 4.6 yards per carry against the Steelers since Week 15, a span that includes the Ravens resting many starters and rotating Gus Edwards, Justice Hill and washed-up Melvin Gordon in Week 18. FantasyPros projects Cook to have 67.6 rushing yards.
Josh Allen will have a critical role in the running game, too. Brady has embraced using Allen’s legs, especially in the final two games of the regular season. According to The 33rd Team, Allen had eight and nine designed runs in Week 17 and Week 18, the second-highest and highest totals for the dual-threat quarterback this season. The bruising runner ran for 44 yards against the Patriots and 67 versus the Dolphins.
Allen’s also cranked up his rushing production in the playoffs. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Allen has averaged 52.1 rushing yards per game in eight career games in the postseason. In addition, mobile quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley had 45 and 40 rushing yards against Pittsburgh, respectively.
On the other side, Jaylen Warren is Pittsburgh’s game-script-proof running back, sharing early-down work with Najee Harris and owning the pass-catching gig. Since Week 15, Warren has rushed 40 times for 172 yards and hauled in 19 receptions for 98 receiving yards.
The second-year running back has exceeded 55.5 scrimmage yards twice in his past four games. However, once was when the Steelers lost, and both times he failed to surpass 55.5 scrimmage yards were in victories. Harris is equipped to tote the rock and protect the lead, but the Steelers are sizable underdogs, enhancing Warren’s potential for production at Harris’s expense. FantasyPros projects Warren to have 63.4 scrimmage yards against the Bills.
Parlay Odds: +490
Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys SGP
- Leg 1: Dak Prescott Over 262.5 Passing Yards (-170)
- Leg 2: CeeDee Lamb 90+ Receiving Yards (-170)
- Leg 3: Brandin Cooks Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Leg 4: Jordan Love Over 247.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Dak Prescott has feasted at home, and Green Bay’s pass defense is trash. Prescott has averaged 308.8 passing yards per game in eight home games, clearing 262.5 six times. Since Week 15, the Packers have coughed up 255 passing yards per game to a combination of Baker Mayfield (381 passing yards), Bryce Young (312), Justin Fields (148), Nick Mullens (113) and Jaren Hall (67), hardly a murderer’s row of signal-callers. Prescott is projected to have 275.5 passing yards against the Packers on Sunday.
CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks should run through Green Bay’s secondary unchecked, and their assignment will be even easier if Jaire Alexander is inactive. Lamb had an incredible season and saved his best work for the home fans, averaging 119.4 receiving yards per game in Dallas, eclipsing 90 in five of those eight games.
Cooks can also get a substantial piece of the pie. He had over 41.5 receiving yards in five of the seven games he played in Dallas this season. FantasyPros projects Lamb to have 99.5 receiving yards and Cooks to have 48.1.
Jordan Love is on fire and will likely have to shoulder a substantial load for the underdog Packers. Fortunately, he’s been up to the task lately. Among 37 quarterbacks who dropped back at least 50 times since Week 15, Love was Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) second-ranked passer. He passed for 1,075 yards in those four games, an average of 268.8.
Love has gone over 247.5 passing yards in back-to-back games and seven of his past nine. The inexperienced starter could have help on the way, potentially boasting an entirely healthy pass-catching corps, a rarity for him this season. Love is projected to have 253.9 passing yards against the Cowboys.
Parlay Odds: +500
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions SGP
- Leg 1: Matthew Stafford Over 275.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Leg 2: Puka Nacua Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Puka Nacua Over 5.5 Receptions (-145)
- Leg 3: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Matthew Stafford is back where it all began in Detroit. He’s having a superb season and should carve up his former employer. The rocket-armed veteran was slinging it down the stretch of the regular season, going over 275.5 passing yards in four of his final five games.
Meanwhile, the Lions were helpless against the pass. Since Week 15, Detroit’s opponents have lit them up for 343 passing yards per game. Nick Mullens had over 275.5 passing yards twice against them in that period, erupting for 411 and 396 passing yards. Stafford is a vastly superior quarterback and has better weapons to boot.
Stafford will likely sling it early and often against Detroit’s pass-funnel defense. The Rams had a 58% situation-neutral pass rate from Week 14 through Week 17, and the Lions have faced a 67% situation-neutral pass rate since Week 15. It’s a recipe for an explosion from Stafford.
Puka Nacua will almost certainly be on the receiving end of many of Stafford’s passes. From Week 14 through Week 17, the rookie was tied for LA’s team lead in target share (26.3%) and averaged a healthy 81 air yards per game. Nacua parlayed his elite underlying data into 24 receptions (6.0 per game) and 416 receiving yards (104.0 per game). The supremely talented rookie is projected to have 5.9 receptions and 79.6 receiving yards against Detroit.
As talented as Nacua and Kupp are, Detroit boasts the best wideout in this contest. Amon-Ra St. Brown was unstoppable this season, averaging 94.7 receiving yards per game. He had over 88.5 receiving yards in 11 of 16 games played in the regular season. Furthermore, the Sun God had fewer than 88.5 receiving yards only once in seven home games. ARSB will give LA’s lousy secondary fits and is projected to have 89.6 receiving yards this week.
Parlay Odds: +450
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.