NHL Playoffs Best Bets, Picks & Predictions: Monday (Golden Knights vs. Stars)

It’s another elimination game for the Dallas Stars as they try to come back from a 0-3 deficit vs. the Vegas Golden Knights. They have already done it twice, and now they need just one more to force a one-game winner-take-all.

Monday's Best NHL Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Vegas Golden Knights (+104) at Dallas Stars (-125) | O/U 5.5 (-114/-106)

Although the Golden Knights won the first three games, they have not dominated this series. Even before their last two wins, Dallas held the expected goals advantage, and two of the Vegas wins came in overtime.

The big reason they were able to win these games was because of goalie Adin Hill. Hill was tough in those first three games with a .948 save percentage but has regressed recently with a .907 save percentage. They're still getting contributions from some of their best skaters, like Chandler Stephenson, Jack Eichel and Jonathan Marchessault, but it won't be enough if Hill can't get back to his early-series form.

That's because Jake Oettinger looks like a completely different goalie. He hit am all-time low when he gave three up goals in the first five shots and was pulled seven minutes into Game 3. Since then, he's been back to regular-season form with a .941 save percentage in the last two games after having an abysmal .848 save percentage in the first three games.

The big push on offense for Dallas had come from Jason Robertson. After going goalless for eight straight, he's been lighting up the lamp with five in this series, including three over the last two games. This is the player the Stars lean on in the offense. If he keeps contributing, they could finish this comeback.

There's another series tonight featuring a team that won three straight to force a Game 7, and the Stars would love to accomplish that same feat. The Stars have the potential to do it, but the confidence lies with the total. I love the rebound from Oettinger, and Hill can have a bounce-back game.

Pick: UNDER 5.5 (-106)

Also make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app