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NHL Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Friday (Stars vs. Golden Knights)

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The Western Conference Finals get underway Friday night, and boy, does it have a tough act to follow. I’m not sure we’ll see four overtimes as we did in Thursday night’s series opener between Carolina and Florida. But this matchup between the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights shapes up to be a tightly-contested series.

How should we play Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals? Here’s my same-game parlay for tonight’s game.

Friday’s Best NHL Same Game Parlay

All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Dallas Stars (+105) at Vegas Golden Knights (-130) | Total 5.5

    • Leg 1: Dallas +105
    • Leg 2: Jason Robertson anytime goalscorer
    • Leg 3: Under 5.5 goals
    • Odds: +650

This is a rematch of the 2020 Western Conference Finals that was played in the bubble during the COVID season. The Stars won that series, and despite not having a home-ice advantage, I think the Stars have a great shot to win the rematch.

Vegas has a bit more depth at both forward and defense, but the Stars are plenty capable of stacking up from a roster perspective. Dallas has high-end scorers in Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz and has productive veterans with postseason experience in Joe Pavelski, Tyler Seguin, and Jamie Benn.

If Dallas has one glaring advantage in this series, it’s between the pipes. Jake Oettinger has been a bit more up and down than expected this postseason, with a 2.75 goals against average and a .903 save percentage. But he’s come up big for Dallas when it’s mattered, and theoretically, should Dallas have a sizable advantage over whomever Vegas starts in net. That will likely be Adin Hill, who has posted 3.2 goals saved above expected during the postseason, but has been really shaky at times.

Looking at Game 1 specifically, I like Dallas to prevail for a handful of reasons. First off, Vegas feels due for a bit of regression at 5-0n-5 play. The Golden Knights have scored 28 goals and allowed 15 at 5-on-5 through the postseason. However, Vegas holds an expected goals margin of just 21.5-20.8 per NaturalStatTrick. Meanwhile, Dallas has a goals for percentage of 50.88 and an expected goals percentage of 55.5%. The Stars have also done a better job at generating chances and high-danger opportunities.

I’ll take a stab at the short road underdog with the better goaltender. As for the rest of the legs, I suspect we’ll see a tighter, low-scoring Game 1, as both teams are pretty deep on the blue line. Finally, after getting blanked in the last round, I think Robertson breaks through with a goal right off the bat.

Check out our other best bets for Friday:


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