Packers vs. Dolphins: NFL Week 16 Christmas Day Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions (2022)

Christmas Day is usually dominated by NBA Basketball, but this year the NFL is getting in on the action. With three NFL matchups on Sunday, there’s going to be some interesting games to watch in between Christmas festivities. If you’re looking for some skin in the game, or hoping to recoup money spent on gifts, I’d recommend these three Same Game Parlays, all offered on DraftKings. And here’s a closer look at Packers vs. Dolphins.

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Packers vs. Dolphins: NFL Week 16 Christmas Day Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

Leg 1: Packers ML (+150)

While the Dolphins come into this game with the better record, the Packers have been playing better football in recent weeks. Miami has lost three straight, and is at risk of missing the playoffs if they don’t get a win on the board soon. Green Bay, meanwhile, is 3-2 over their last five games and have won two straight. In that five game stretch, they have two losses to teams projected to make the playoffs (including the Eagles, the NFC’s one seed) and a win over the Cowboys.

The Dolphins’ biggest liability has been their pass defense. They rank bottom-five in the NFL in terms of passing yards allowed, and have given up 937 passing yards and seven passing TDs in their last three games. With Aaron Rodgers playing in warm weather in a must-win game, I expect the Packers to give the Dolphins trouble on Sunday. 

Leg 2: O53.5 (+130)

While Miami’s pass defense is a liability, their offense has been exceptional this season. Even as they’ve lost their last three games, they’ve scored a respectable 21 points per game against three solid defenses (San Francisco, Los Angeles Chargers, and Buffalo). Green Bay, meanwhile, has allowed 25.2 points per game over their last five despite having a winning record in that stretch.

I expect this game to be a shootout, with both QBs trading scores all game. I feel comfortable getting a bit aggressive with this over, and taking the alternate total of 53.5.

Parlay Odds: +450


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