Patriots vs. Raiders: NFL Week 6 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering - I know that I am for the first time now that my state has legalized wagering - this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Patriots vs. Raiders.
NFL Betting Primer: Patriots vs. Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders (LV -3) vs. New England Patriots
Back again with my Patriots. The offense has been beyond dysfunctional, and the defense has suffered several key injuries. That's resulted in a two-game losing streak where they have been outscored 3-72.
The only semblance of hope that works in the offense's favor is that the Las Vegas Raiders' defense is the weakest unit they faced this season. The Raiders struggle to generate pass rush outside of Maxx Crosby and have a horrible run defense that has made sub-poor offenses run the ball effectively this season. They rank 10th in rushing yards allowed per game. And the Patriots will likely be able to establish some ground game considering they won't be down two TDs from the get-go.
The Raiders rank 24th in first-half points per game.
But if you'd rather just avoid picking sides - as I also like to do - just bet the under. The Patriots are 5-0 toward the under this season. Las Vegas? 4-1 toward the under this season. The only game that has gone over was LV playing the Bills back in Week 2.
For the LV side of the props, I like betting the overs on the WRs. Because the Patriots’ banged-up secondary doesn’t have the guys to hang with the likes of Jakobi Meyers and Davante Adams.
In three games with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, Meyers has averaged 10.5 targets, 7.6 receptions, 80.3 receiving yards, and 1 TD per game. Adams had gone over 70 yards in three straight games before last week’s win versus the Packers. Expect him to get back on track.
My Picks:
- Under 41.5 (-105 FanDuel Sportsbook)
My Props:
- Rhamondre Stevenson over 48.5 rushing yards (-115 BetMGM)
- Rhamondre Stevenson over 12.5 carries (+100 DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Jakobi Meyers over 4.5 receptions (-160 DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Davante Adams over 70 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel Sportsbook)
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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