Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Game Pick (2021)

We have a meeting between two AFC teams vying for a playoff spot, with one having a real shot a the No. 1 seed. Unfortunately for that top team, there are many question marks as COVID-19 has hit the team hard.

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Details

  • Opening Lines: Steelers +10.5 o/u 46.5
  • Current Lines: Steelers +8.5 o/u 45
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium
  • Start Time: 4:25 p.m. EDT
  • TV: CBS
  • Last Meeting: Septemeber 16, 2018 -  Chiefs 42, Steelers 37

The Chiefs have become one of the hottest teams in the NFL as they’ve won six straight, including a dramatic overtime win against AFC West rivals the Chargers last Thursday. They’ve received unfortunate news as several players, including Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, entered COVID protocols. As of now, the game is not postponed, but as we’ve seen, rescheduling the game is a possibility. With the AFC West still close and the seeding in the conference very tight, they can’t afford a loss at this point.

The Steelers have been inconsistent this year, to say the least. They have some great young players, especially on the offensive side, but lack of the talent on the offensive line hinders them deeply as Ben Roethlisberger is most likely capping off his career in Pittsburgh. The defense that was one of the best last season has not played so well as they went from the third-best scoring defense in 2020 to the 21st this season.

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Trends

  • The Steelers are 13-3 against the spread in its last 16 games as an underdog on Sundays.
  • The under is 12-7-1 in the Steelers’ last 20 games when the total is between 44-46.
  • The under is 13-7 in the Chiefs’ last 20 games when the total is between 44-46.
  • The Chiefs are 9-11  against the spread in its last 20 games at home.

Overview

We’re going to analyze this game as if this game will be played on Sunday, and everyone in COVID protocols is not available. This gives Pittsburgh a massive advantage as good teams with missing players due to COVID has not played well the last couple of years. Patrick Mahomes not having his two best pass-catchers and some of his offensive lines will be tough to overcome even with a struggling Pittsburgh defense. The line still has the Steelers over a touchdown underdog, so take it if this game plays as normal.

Pick: Steelers +8.5

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