Premier League Matchday 24 Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
The top of the Premier League table couldn't be much closer as Liverpool (51 points) holds a slight two-point edge over both Manchester City (49) and Arsenal (49).
Below, I'll break down one of those team's games, along with another pair of matches, and let you know where I'm laying my money on the pitch this weekend.
Here are my top three bets for Matchday 24 in the Premier League:
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Premier League Matchday 24 Preview & Best Bets (2024)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Luton Town (-135) @ Sheffield United (+370), DRAW (+295) | O/U 2.5 (-135/+110)
Roughly 70% of the league takes the pitch on Saturday, and one of the underrated matchups pits 17th-place Luton Town (20 points) against last-place Sheffield United (10). Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET from Kenilworth Road in Luton, England.
The Hatters looked like a lock for relegation after a slow start to their first year back in the top flight. However, they've earned points in four of their last six matches, catapulting them out of the relegation zone. One of those four contests was a 3-2 victory on the road against Sheffield on Dec. 26. I'll back Rob Edwards and his Luton Town squad to secure another three points on Saturday.
You can look at almost any metric and see that the Hatters have an edge over the Blades. I mean, basically, every team in the Premier League can say that, though. I'll point to Sheffield's road struggles, where they're 0-2-9 away from home this term. They've managed a -21 goal differential (7:28) in road contests, and their 28 goals allowed are the worst in the league. This team is historically bad, so I'll fade them once again.
Bet: Luton Town Moneyline (-135)
West Ham (+500) @ Arsenal (-185), DRAW (+340) | O/U 2.5 (-150/+120)
Arsenal's coming off of a dominant 3-1 home win against Liverpool last time out. They'll take on West Ham next, who currently reside in seventh place with a record of 10-6-7 (36 points). These London foes square off on Sunday at 9:00 a.m. ET from London Stadium in London, England.
The Irons have been a thorn in the side of Arsenal this year, already beating them twice across the Carabao Cup (3-1 on Nov. 1) and in the Premier League (2-0 on Dec. 28). While we saw the first meeting get a little loose, I'm not expecting as much scoring this time around. I will take a shot with the plus-money payout on the under 2.5 goals.
David Moyes' club has been extremely stingy at home this season, conceding only 11 goals over 11 matches (1.0 GA/G). They also come in at seventh overall in the league, where they've allowed just 36 goals this season (1.6 GA/G). Conversely, the Gunners are dialed in defensively, boasting the league's best defense. They're tied with Liverpool, where they've each allowed just 22 goals over 23 matches (0.96 GA/G).
I think we see this matchup end in a 1-1 draw or perhaps an even lower score. Give me the under in London on Sunday morning.
Bet: Under 2.5 (+120)
Aston Villa (+120) @ Manchester United (+205), DRAW (+275) | O/U 3.5 (+135/-180)
The Sunday nightcap features an intriguing tie between Aston Villa and Manchester United. The Villans come into this matchday rounding out the top four (46 points), while the Red Devils have climbed up to sixth (38) in the table. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET from Villa Park in Birmingham.
Aston Villa suffered its first home loss of the season on Jan. 30, dropping that match 3-1 to Newcastle. They bounced back with a 5-0 shellacking of Sheffield this past Saturday. Considering we have a pair of talented offenses, I will play the alternate over at 3.0 goals. These two sides combined for five goals back on Dec. 26th, when United notched a 3-2 home win.
Erik ten Hag's men appear to have found their footing offensively, as they've registered 19 goals over their last seven competitions (5 PL, 2 FA Cup). That's an average of 2.7 goals per match. On the flip side, the Villans have been incredible at home in terms of offensive production. They've netted a league-leading 30 home goals (2.7 GPG), compiling a 9-1-1 record along the way. I think both of these rosters are more than capable of scoring twice, so I'll be on the over in this clash.
Bet: Over 3.0 (-120)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday: