Premier League Matchday 25 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2024)
The 2023-2024 Premier League campaign is heating up! We have an excellent weekend slate on the horizon, and Iâm narrowing in on three games that caught my eye from a betting perspective.
Here are my top three bets in England for Matchday 25.
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Premier League Matchday 25 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2024)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Sheffield United (+400) vs. Brighton (-155), DRAW (+340) | 3.5 (+135/-170)
The Sunday schedule this weekend offers up a pair of games, with the opener featuring a clash between last-place Sheffield United (13 points) and ninth-place Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (35 points). Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 a.m. ET from Bramall Lane in Sheffield, England.
The Blades notched a 3-1 road victory over Luton Town last time out, but Iâm not expecting them to build any type of winning streak. In fact, I think theyâll regress back to being the worst team in the top flight. Overall, theyâve been awful this season, conceding 60 goals over 24 matches (2.5 GA/P) while scoring just 22 times (0.9 GPG). Those are both the worst marks in the Premier League.
Meanwhile, the Seagulls havenât been in great form either recently, going just 1-2-2 in their last five matches. However, Brighton comes into this match ranked seventh in scoring (43 goals) and eighth in xG (39.5). This should be an excellent breakout opportunity for Roberto De Zerbiâs men, and I think they bury the Blades on Sunday morning.
Bet: Brighton -1.0 (-105)
Luton Town (+310) vs. Manchester United (-125), DRAW (+310) | 3.5 (+135/-160)
The Sunday action continues from Kenilworth Road as Luton Town hosts Manchester United. United enters the weekend at sixth in the table (41 points), while their opposition is just above the relegation line at 17th (20 points). This contest gets underway at 11:30 a.m. ET from Luton, England.
After all of the early-season issues, it appears Erik ten Hagâs squad has taken a turn for the better. Theyâre finally finding their footing, as theyâve rattled off four wins in their last six matches (1D, 1L). That includes a current three-match win streak, where theyâve out-scored their opposition 9-4.
The offense will be the key for the Red Devils on Sunday morning. Theyâre taking on a Hatters side thatâs the third-worst team defensively (45 goals against). Theyâre even worse in xGA, sitting at 19th overall (44.6). Finally, Luton Town hardly has a home-pitch advantage, considering theyâre just 3-2-7 at Kenilworth this season. I think Manchester United takes care of business in this one.
Bet: Manchester United Moneyline (-125)
Everton (-145) vs. Crystal Palace (+425), DRAW (+280) | 2.5 (+110/-135)
Even with the 10-point deduction, Everton has nearly clawed its way out of the relegation zone. Theyâre currently 8-5-11 this season, which puts them at 18th in the standings (19 points). The Toffees host Crystal Palace on Monday afternoon, and theyâre right above Everton at 15th in the table (24 points). Kickoff is slated for 3:00 p.m. ET from Goodison Park in Liverpool, England.
The price tag is a little hefty, but I fully expect Everton to come away with three points on Monday. Theyâll host a Palace squad that has dropped two straight matches, getting out-scored 7-2. The defense has been an issue for the Eagles this season, considering theyâre just 15th overall (43 goals against).
Meanwhile, Everton has been very sharp defensively. Theyâre the fourth-best defensive team, where theyâve conceded only 32 goals. Theyâre also sixth in xGA (33.1). Finally, itâs worth pointing out Palaceâs poor road form this season. Theyâre just 3-3-6 in away matches, posting a -12 goal differential (12:24). Ultimately, I believe Everton is the more well-rounded club. Factor in their home-field advantage, and I think they cruise to a win against a pedestrian Crystal Palace team.
Bet: Everton Moneyline (-145)
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