Premier League Matchday 34 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2024)
We have another thrilling weekend of soccer on the horizon as the Premier League rolls out a seven-game schedule over the next two days. Several of the original matches were postponed due to FA Cup scheduling.
Let's dive into my three favorite bets on the pitch this weekend.
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Premier League Matchday 34 Preview & Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Luton Town (+220) vs. Brentford (+115), DRAW (+275) | O/U 3.5 (+135/-170)
The weekend gets started with a bottom-of-the-table clash between Luton Town and Brentford. The Hatters are sitting just below the relegation line in 18th (25 points), while the Bees are slightly above the line in 15th (32 points). Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET from Kenilworth Road in Luton, England.
Brentford finally got back in the win column last weekend, taking down Sheffield in a 2-0 home match. The victory snapped a three-match stretch of draws. So, while the wins weren't piling up, at least Thomas Frank's men were able to collect some points along the way. I think the Bees build on last weekend's win and take down the lowly Hatters on Saturday morning.
With these being two of the worst defenses in the Premier League, we should expect all kinds of scoring on Saturday morning. And, while the teams are pretty equal in terms of overall offenses, I trust Brentford's forwards much more than Luton Town's scoring core. Furthermore, the Hatters don't have much of a home-pitch advantage, considering they're 4-3-9 at Kenilworth Road. They're also just 1-0-3 in their last four matches, getting out-scored 10-4. Let's play Brentford with a plus-money payout.
Bet: Brentford Moneyline (+115)
Aston Villa (-115) vs. Bournemouth (+280), DRAW (+310) | O/U 3.5 (+115/-145)
It was quite a weekend for Aston Villa, as they enjoyed Tottenham getting smashed 4-0 by Newcastle while also collecting a 2-0 road victory over Arsenal, propelling them back into the top four. Unai Emery's squad is fourth with 63 points, and they'll host Bournemouth, who's 13th in the table with 42 points. Kickoff is set for Sunday morning at 10:00 a.m. ET from Villa Park in Birmingham, England.
Getting "coin flip odds" with Aston Villa at home seems like a no-brainer, regardless of who the competition is. The Villans have been fierce at home this season, boasting a record of 11-2-3. Villa Park is where they've seen their offense take off, amassing 40 goals over their 16 home matches (2.5 GPG). Emery's squad brings in the fifth-best offense in the PL with 65 goals, and they'll host the 12th-best Bournemouth offense (46 goals).
Between the home-pitch advantage and their dominant offense, I expect the Villans to cruise on Sunday morning. Bournemouth has struggled in its last two matches, conceding two goals over the 0-1-1 stretch. They're just 14th in overall defense (54 goals allowed), and I hate to sound like a broken record, but this is just a tough matchup against Aston Villa's high-octane offense. Give me Aston Villa to collect another three points and stay inside the top four.
Bet: Aston Villa Moneyline (-115)
Fulham (+425) vs. Liverpool (-175), DRAW (+370) | O/U 3.5 (+100/-125)
The weekend concludes with a high-leverage game as Fulham and Liverpool square off. The Cottagers are currently 12th in the table with 42 points, while the Reds dropped to third in the table with 71 points. Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday at 11:30 a.m. ET from Craven Cottage in London.
Liverpool's coming off of that embarrassing 1-0 home defeat at the hands of Crystal Palace last weekend. However, after exiting the European theatre with a midweek Europa League defeat to Atalanta (3-1 aggregate), the Reds can focus on chasing down a Premier League title. Despite being in rough form, I think they can manage a road victory against Fulham on Sunday.
Nothing really stands out with Fulham, which is why they're a middle-of-the-table squad. They're just ninth in scoring (48 goals) and 10th in goals against (51 goals allowed). Meanwhile, Liverpool is better in each of those categories, ranking third in overall offense (68 goals) and second in overall defense (31 goals allowed). The Reds have excelled on the road, winning eight of their 15 matches (8-5-2). They're comfortable playing on the road, and with title ambitions, they should secure three points easily. I'll lay the 1.0 goals in this spot and hope for a multi-goal win from Jurgen Klopp & Co.
Bet: Liverpool -1.0 (-120)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday: