Premier League Matchday 6 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2024)
We're heading into a jam-packed sports weekend, but before things get started stateside, we have plenty of action abroad as the Premier League gears up for matchday six. Below I'll dive into my three favorite bets for this weekend's action on the pitch in England.
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Premier League Matchday 6 Preview & Best Bets (2024)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Wolverhampton (+750) vs. Liverpool (-310), DRAW (+475) | 3.5 (+110/-140)
It has been a rough campaign for Gary O'Neil and his Wanderers, as they enter the weekend in the cellar of the table at 0-1-4 (1 point). Things won't get easier as they host Liverpool, who's starting the post-Klopp Era with a bang. The Reds are 4-0-1 (12 points), trailing only Manchester City (13 points) in the PL table. This contest is Saturday's Premier League nightcap, which kicks off at 12:30 p.m. ET from Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton.
When O'Neil took over the reins of Wolverhampton, they were horrendous offensively. Following the departure of Pedro Neto this past offseason, it appears they're back to square one in terms of offensive production. This team is ranked 17th in goals scored (5) and 18th in xG (4.9) through the first five matches.
Lacking offensive firepower is not a trait that you want when you're hosting a high-octane Liverpool offense. The Reds haven't skipped a beat under new skipper Arne Slot, as they sit third in goals scored (10) and second in xG (9.8) this term. Liverpool is coming off of a 3-0 win over Bournemouth last weekend, and they hammered West Ham 5-1 in a midweek Carabao Cup match on Wednesday. It may be a square play, but the Reds are healthy and firing on all cylinders, so I'll lay 1.5 goals with them on Saturday.
Bet: Liverpool -1.5 (-125)
Ipswich Town (+310) vs. Aston Villa (-115), DRAW (+270) | 2.5 (-145/+115)
Sunday's action kicks off when Premier League newcomer Ipswich Town hosts Aston Villa. The Tractor Boys have struggled since making the jump from the Championship, where they're in 17th place at 0-3-2 (3 points). The Villans look to be a force once again this year, as they're in third place at 4-0-1 (12 points). Kickoff is set for Sunday morning at 9:00 a.m. ET from Portman Road in Ipswich.
If Aston Villa is serious about staying in the top-four in the Premier League, then this is a match where they should cruise to an easy three points. I mentioned Wolves' offensive woes above, well, Ipswich Town's offense is even worse. They're 19th in goals scored (3) and dead last in xG (3.2) through five matches. That's less than 1.0 goal per match in each category, which once again, isn't an ideal characteristic when hosting a high-caliber opponent.
I think Aston Villa takes care of business on Sunday morning, and I also feel that we're getting a great price at just -115. The Villans are in solid form, winning their last three matches. They've out-scored their opposition 8-4 over the three-game sample size, notching multi-goal games in each contest. If they can reach two goals on Sunday morning, it'll likely be enough against this dull Ipswich offense.
Bet: Aston Villa Moneyline (-115)
Manchester United (+135) vs. Tottenham (+175), DRAW (+285) | 3.5 (+100/-130)
The marquee match on Sunday pits Manchester United against Tottenham. While they're both household names worldwide, neither club has been playing like it. The Red Devils are in 11th place at 2-1-2 (7 points), while the visitors are sitting right above them with an identical record. This contest kicks off on Sunday at 11:30 a.m. ET from Old Trafford in Manchester.
I'm heading to the prop sheet for this match, and I'm locking in Son Heung-min to either score or contribute to a goal via an assist. The long-time forward already has two goals and two assists this campaign, and those four contributions have translated to 44.4% of the team's nine goals scored in 2024-2025. Dating back to last season, he scored (17 goals) or assisted (10 assists) on 27 of the team's 74 goals scored (36.5%). It's clear that the offense runs through him, and I expect him to have a hand in a goal against United on Sunday.
United has posted consecutive clean sheets in their last two matches, dusting Southampton 3-0 before drawing with Crystal Palace 0-0 last weekend. However, their xGA this season sits at 6.4, which is a pedestrian 10th in the league. I think Erik ten Hag's squad will at least let one goal through as they take on a tougher offensive opponent, and I anticipate Son being involved in the scoring. Give me Son Heung-min to make his way onto the scoresheet Sunday.
Bet: Son Heung-min To Score or Give Assist (+110)