Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 8)
Introducing the Week 8 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.
Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.
Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 8 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Raiders vs. Chiefs.
Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 8 Betting Primer>>
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
- The Chiefs have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 games.
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 12 games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in 13 of the Chiefs' last 19 games.
- The Chiefs have won each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
- Their opponents have scored first in six of the Chiefs’ last seven games.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in seven of their last 11 games.
- The Raiders are 11-5-1 ATS over their last 17 games.
- LV is 12-6-1 ATS at home (67%). They are 4-3-1 as home underdogs ATS. But just 2-5 straight up.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in five of their last seven road games.
- The Raiders have lost nine of their last 11 road games.
Totals:
- Ten of the Chiefs' last 13 games have gone UNDER the total points line (12 of the last 15).
- Since the start of 2023, the Chiefs have not allowed a team to score 27 points against them.
- They are undefeated when they hold teams to 17 points or less.
- KC is 2-1 toward the over at home this season.
- 10 of the Raiders' last 17 games have gone UNDER the total points line and 14-9 toward the under.
- Five of the Raiders' last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line per DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Four of the Raiders’ last five home games have gone OVER the total points line.
Overall:
LV is 12-6-1 ATS at home (67%) and 4-3-1 as home underdogs. The Raiders are double-digit underdogs against the Chiefs. Trust the process. Recall that the Raiders beat the Chiefs outright last season on the road on Christmas. KC was double-digit favorites in both games against the Raiders last season despite outscoring them just 45 to 37 in the two matchups. The Raiders were either tied or beating KC at halftime in both games.
Gardner Minshew's 3-3 ATS this season, while boasting a 2-0 record ATS on the road as an underdog by a touchdown or more. The Raiders aren't great, but they aren't getting nearly enough respect after they stayed competitive with the Rams a week ago.
Simply put, it's just too many points to pass on for a road divisional matchup against a Chiefs offense that ranks outside the top 12 in points per game.
Props:
Alexander Mattison led the ground game with 23 carries for 92 yards, averaging 4.0 yards per carry with a long of 13 yards in Week 7. Zamir White chipped in three carries for 13 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. Mattison dominated with a 70% snap rate. The Raiders have a new RB1 with a healthy White buried behind Mattison on the depth chart. But Mattison draws a brutal matchup this week against the Chiefs. Only one RB they have faced this season has surpassed their rushing yards total. KC’s defense is allowing the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game this season.
My Picks:
- Raiders +9.5
- Alexander Mattison UNDER 40.5 rushing yards