Navigate

Ravens vs. Titans: NFL Week 6 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets

by |

I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering - I know that I am for the first time now that my state has legalized wagering - this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Ravens vs. Titans.

NFL Betting Primer: Ravens vs. Titans

Tennessee Titans (TEN -4.0) vs. Baltimore Ravens

We handicapped the hot-cold Tennessee Titans correctly last week, citing their bad offensive line and home/road splits. They are 0-3 this season versus 2-0 at home and scoring 11.3 points per game versus 27 points per game. Ryan Tannehill is averaging nearly 10 yards per pass attempt at home while averaging close to six yards per attempt on the road.

The Titans’ offense is still not good – 23rd on 3rd downs, 29th in red zone – and the Ravens’ strengths on defense match up well against Tennessee’s ability to run the football. Baltimore ranks 4th in expected points contributed by run defense, allowing just 3.6 yards per carry. Only one RB has rushed for 60-plus yards against them, and it took 30 carries for Zack Moss to get there. They are also the only team yet to allow a rushing TD this season.

Meanwhile, I think that Lamar Jackson and the Ravens passing offense can take advantage of a leaky Titans secondary – 4th worst yards per attempt and 5th worst in completion percentage allowed – as they SHOULD have done last week versus the Steelers. No offense ran worse than Baltimore’s in Week 5.

Must expect a major bounce-back game for the Ravens after they totally blew a game that could have easily won. Blown 4th downs and points in the red zone. Multiple dropped TDs. A blocked punt resulted in a safety. Back-breaking red-zone interception.

The Ravens had the 4-point cover in the bag on the road versus the Steelers. They blew it. They won’t do that twice in a row this week in London. The Titans’ pass rush is nowhere near what Pittsburgh can offer, and playing across the pond should be more favorable than playing in your AFC North rival’s home stadium.

As for the total, I tend to lean toward the under. Tannehill is 11-6 toward the under as the team’s starter dating back to last season.

The Ravens have been an under machine at 4-1

Tennessee isn’t that kind of powerhouse to hold up their end offensively, especially on the road. They scored fewer than 20 points on the road in eight of their last 10 road games. With Tannehill as the starter, it’s been five of the last six under 20 points.

On the player props side, I am doubling down on the Ravens’ passing attack. Regression is going to work in their favor after the left so much production on the table last week.

Zay Flowers‘ 58.5 receiving yards prop is too low. He’s gone over his projected total in four of five games this season. He was Lamar Jackson’s top target in Week 5, receiving 11 passes (29% Target share). He caught 5 of them for 73 yards, demonstrating his ability to gain significant yardage on receptions. More importantly, he was used more downfield with a 16.7 average depth of target.

Ravens WR1. 29% Target share this season. And he left the production on the table.

Massive game coming versus Tennessee this weekend. Flowers and DeAndre Hopkins are the two WRs this season with the highest number of targets, receiving yards and receptions to NOT have scored a TD yet. Flowers has nine total red zone opportunities (7 targets, 2 carries) while Hopkins has 6 red zone targets.

On Tennessee’s side, I am strongly fading tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo. The Ravens are allowing the 3rd-fewest receiving yards to TEs this season. Okonkwo just got to 33 yards last week with 1:00 remaining in the fourth quarter. Before his last 8-yard gain, he was sitting on 4 catches for 25 yards. Woof. He also only ran a route on 65% of the dropbacks and played a season-low 58% snap share. Fade the Titans’ tight end in a bad matchup.

My Picks:

My Props:

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App