Renegades vs. Brahmas: XFL Week 6 Picks & Predictions (Sunday)

Last week was arguably the most competitive week of the XFL season. All four games were decided by eight points or fewer. Furthermore, two of last week's wins were by three or fewer points. More importantly, the Houston Roughnecks got kicked from the undefeated ranks in Week 5. Let’s take a look at our top picks and predictions for Week 6 of the XFL.

Best XFL Bets for Week 6

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Arlington Renegades vs. San Antonio Brahmas

The Renegades won an ugly, low-scoring affair against the Brahmas in Week 5, defeating them 12-10. Now, Arlington will host their South Division foes in the rematch. The game’s final margin of just two points suggests the Renegades squeaked out the win.

However, while Arlington wasn’t dominant, they held advantages across the board. The Renegades gained 253 total yards at 4.1 yards per play, had 18 first downs, converted half of their third downs, committed seven penalties and forced three turnovers. Meanwhile, the Brahmas mustered 181 total yards at 3.6 yards per play, had 13 first downs, converted only 20.0% of their third downs, committed seven penalties and forced only one turnover.

Additionally, Pro Football Focus (PFF) graded the Renegades ahead of the Brahmas in overall grade and defense. The Brahmas have a higher PFF grade on offense than the Renegades, though. Unfortunately, San Antonio’s offense had scored just 29 points in their previous three games combined, and changing the offensive coordinator before last week’s game didn’t turn things around. Moreover, Reid Sinnett flashed some potential before leaving the game with an injury. Sinnett will miss the rest of the year with a broken foot, and Jack Coan had only seven completions for 42 yards and two interceptions on 15 attempts last week after relieving Sinnett.

Betting on the under for 33.0 points is compelling. Yet, taking last week’s victor at home in the rematch is a more exciting selection at a palatable -165 moneyline.

Pick: Arlington Renegades Moneyline (-165)


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