San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks: XFL Week 3 Bets & Picks (2023)

Here are our top picks for Week 3 of the XFL: San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks.

XFL Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks

San Antonio Brahmas at Houston Roughnecks

The Roughnecks have picked up where they left off after a 5-0 campaign in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season. They’ve scored the most points (56) and allowed the second-fewest points (26) in the league this year. Moreover, they haven’t played flawless football.

The Roughnecks had two turnovers in a 21-point victory in Week 1 and three in a nine-point win in Week 2. However, the best might be yet to come. Houston’s defense has been nothing short of spectacular, though. They’ve recorded 12 sacks and forced six turnovers. As a result, Pro Football Focus (PFF) graded the Roughnecks first in pressure and coverage.

Despite their faults, the pass-happy offense has produced a league-high 56 points, 11 more than the second-highest mark. The Roughnecks should do their part to help the game go over 36.5 points. Additionally, the totals in the 2020 XFL and through two weeks this year were promising for betting on the over. The average and median totals in 2020 were 41.0 and 40.5 points. They’ve been 37.6 and 39.0 points this year, and six of eight games had more than 36.5 points this year. Conveniently, the Brahmas are the second-highest scoring team in the league, making the over an exciting bet.

The Brahmas lost their opener 18-15 before rebounding in a beatdown of the Guardians. They’ve been less impressive than the Roughnecks, though. In addition, the margins of victory support laying the points if you’re backing the favorite. Four of eight games this year were decided by more than four points, one was by precisely four and three were by less than four. During the 2020 XFL season, only one victor won by less than four points, one by four points and the other 18 winners beat their opposition by more than four. So, I’m not only betting this game goes over but also picking the Roughnecks to cover the spread.

Houston Roughnecks -4.0 Points (-110)

Over 36.5 Points (-110)


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