Seahawks vs. Cardinals NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 12)
Introducing the Week 12 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.
Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.
Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 12 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Seahawks vs. Cardinals.
Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 12 Betting Primer>>
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Sides
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in nine of their last 12 games.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in each of their last four games.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
- The Cardinals have lost eight of their last 12 games against AFC opponents.
- The Cardinals had lost each of their last 12 games following a win before Week 8.
- Per Next Gen Stats, Arizona didn’t have back-to-back wins in 46 games, with their last winning streak coming in Weeks 11-13, 2021. A new streak has begun, with them winning their last four games in a row.
- And that’s despite them trailing in all contests to start the games.
- The favorites have won 20 of the Seahawks' last 25 games.
- The road team has won each of the Seahawks' last six games.
- Seattle is 7-14-1 ATS in their last 22 games played (6-11-1 over the last 16 games).
- Seattle is 10-3 as a favorite in the last 13 games.
- The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Seahawks are 4-6-1 at home as favorites ATS in their last 11 games.
- Seattle is 4-5 as home underdogs overall and ATS.
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in six of their last 11 games as underdogs.
- Seattle as a road underdog ATS at 8-8 (50%). As away underdogs on the money line, they are 5-11.
- The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games.
- The Seahawks have lost five of their last seven games.
Totals:
- The Cardinals have been an under-machine on the road since the start of 2023 (4-7-1).
- However, this season, it has been a different story. Cardinals’ road games have totaled 52, 57, 47 and 55 points. They are “only†2-1-1 toward the over on the road, but three points are the difference between a perfect 4-0 record toward the over.
- Nine of the Cardinals' last 14 home games have gone OVER the total points line (2-4 O/U) this season, averaging 42 points per game.
- Nine of the Cardinals' last 12 Sunday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Seahawks' last 10 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Seahawks' last 15 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Seahawks' last 11 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Seahawks' last five home games against the Cardinals has gone UNDER the total points line.
Overall:
Does anybody ever feel overly confident betting on the Seahawks? This team runs so hot and cold every week that it makes them tough to trust.
They typically win when they are favored, but they don’t cover. This is a sign of a team that beats bad teams, not good ones.
Case in point, the Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games as favorites, and they have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games.
Seattle is a disappointment waiting to happen. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are hitting their stride right before our eyes.
Arizona has won four in a row and currently holds the No. 3 seed and leads the NFC West. Given their remaining schedule, a win likely cements their status in the postseason.
An underrated part of their success this season? Smart play. They have the fewest penalties this season. Seattle? 29th in penalties.
Give me Arizona to win their fifth straight game in Week 12. The Cardinals have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
Seattle’s defense can’t stop the run, and that’s all Arizona wants to do offensively behind James Conner.
The Cardinals' strength is their ground game. Arizona is 6-1 ATS when they rush for at least 100 yards this season. Seattle is allowing the 6th-most rushing yards per game this season.
As for the total, I like the over. Seattle is 3-3 O/U at home this season, but they have averaged 45 points per game. Arizona road games have averaged nearly 53 points.
Per Next Gen Stats, the Cardinals' defense has struggled against both phases, allowing a 50.8% passing success rate and 46.8% rushing success rate, both the second-highest in the NFL this season.
The Cardinals are the only team in the league to rank in the bottom five in both metrics this season. The Seahawks generate positive EPA on almost half of their dropbacks (48.6%), the 11th-highest passing success rate. However, their rushing success rate, at 37.9%, falls in the bottom 10 of the league.
The Cardinals have struggled to generate pressure this season: they are the only team in the NFL without a defender who has generated at least 20 pressures, and their pressure rate as a team (29.1%) is the 3rd-lowest.
Geno Smith has completed 77.8% of his passes when he is not under pressure this season, the 2nd-highest completion percentage in the league. When not pressured, Geno has generated positive EPA on 58.4% of his dropbacks, the 4th-highest success rate among quarterbacks.
Props
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads all receivers on targets (72), receptions (48), and yards (544) aligned out of the slot, where he has recorded 84.8% of his targets this season (up from 67.1% last season).
Smith-Njigba’s 544 yards from the slot are the most by a Seahawks receiver from such alignment in the last 5 seasons (2019: Tyler Lockett, 731).
Marvin Harrison Jr. has been effective against press coverage with 261 yards (3rd) and four touchdowns (T-2nd) on 17 receptions (2nd), all of which rank in the top 3 among wide receivers this season.
Harrison has been targeted when facing press coverage on 44.1% of his routes, the 2nd-highest target rate among wide receivers with at least 25 press routes in a season since 2016. Matchup: The Seahawks' defense has utilized press coverage with their outside cornerbacks on 40.7% of their dropbacks faced, the 4th-highest rate in the league this season.
Kyler Murray and the Cardinals have played in a few blowouts this season. In these games, Murray has not frequently scrambled. But in the five games that were decided by 17 points or less, he is a perfect 5-0 toward the over on 4.5 rushing attempts. Considering the tight spread and shootout potential, Murray will be using his legs a decent amount in this matchup. The last five QBs to play Seattle have surpassed their rushing yards prop.
My Picks: