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10 Super Bowl LIX Betting Mistakes to Avoid: Chiefs vs. Eagles (2025)

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The Super Bowl is the premiere event on the sports calendar. Hundreds of millions of people will watch it. This means a lot of money will be wagered on this game. It is estimated that over $25 billion will be bet on Super Bowl LIX. If you’re going to be part of that action, we have a list of 10 betting mistakes to avoid for a chance of success.

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Super Bowl LIX Betting Mistakes to Avoid

Just Betting on the Favorite

The Chiefs are coming in as the slight favorite (-1.5) for the third time in their last six appearances. In the previous Super Bowl between these teams, the Eagles were favored. They do have a semi-recent Super Bowl victory as the underdog, beating the Patriots in Super Bowl LII.

The underdog has won four straight Super Bowls. The Chiefs are the favorite and have won back-to-back games, but if you perform your own research and feel like it isn't the right bet, then don't place it.

Betting With Your Heart and Not Your Head

Whether you're part of Chiefs Kingdom or Fly Eagle Fly, a smart bettor must know your team is not always the best bet.

Your fandom might hurt your wallet because you will blindly forget about their disadvantages. You might want to forego betting on your team to win and just look at game or player prop bets.

Leaning Too Heavy on Parlays

The great reward of a parlay also comes with the risk. If just one leg does not hit, you lose.

There's nothing wrong with parlay bets, but either keep the legs low or only bet half of a unit.

Not Shopping for the Best Lines

In most states where sports betting is legal, there are multiple sportsbooks you can use. Each book has its own system and oddsmakers.

Your favorite sportsbook might not offer the most beneficial odds, so it’s always best to shop around to get the best bang for your buck.

You're Not Following the Sharps

If you want the best chance of winning, follow professionals who do this for a living.

These people move the lines. For example, the Chiefs are currently favored by 1.5 points. If the lines moves to a pick’em or Chiefs +1.5, for example, that could be because professional bettors are putting a lot of money on the Eagles.

Not Looking At the Injury Report

The benefit of having two weeks off between the Super Bowl is players can get as healthy as possible. Lingering issues could still occur, though.

We aren't just talking about star players. Look at reports on the starting offensive linemen, defensive backs and even non-starters. Teams look at where their opponent lacks depth and will try to exploit that. You could exploit certain matchups with player props.

Wagering Too Much on Novelty Bets

One of the best parts about the Super Bowl is the fun bets you make outside the game. Sportsbooks will give you plenty of options, from the coin flip and the National Anthem to the halftime performance.

If you're betting on something that has nothing to do with what's happening in the game, do not risk a lot. These should only be half-unit bets or half the money you would normally bet.

Not Looking at Historical Trends

The benefit of this Super Bowl is that it is a rematch of a recent one. Thus, both sides will be familiar with each other. 

Does that favor the Eagles or the Chiefs? Looking at past instances, you will see a trend: This is the fifth time we have had a rematch between two coaches. In the previous four instances, the winning coach of the first matchup has won the second one. Not only does this benefit Andy Reid, but he already accomplished this last year when he won the rematch between Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers.

Bankroll Management 

This should be the first rule of betting in general: You need to be aware of how much you're betting.

You should also have a set number of how much you will spend on the game. It will keep you from sinking into a deep hole and spending more than you should. Most sportsbooks come with a setting that will allow you to limit how much you want to spend.

Too Many Bets

The Super Bowl is one of the most highly anticipated betting events on the sports calendar. Sportsbooks know this, so they offer more options than any other game. You might be inclined to look at all the options and just start blindly wagering.

That is a huge risk. If it ends up being a bad night, you'll be down big. Circle just a few different types of bets and let it ride.

Don't Chase a Cold Streak

This coincides with managing your bankroll. Sometimes, you're just not having a good day. It is usually best to take your losses and walk away. 

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