Tennesee Titans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds & Game Pick (2021)

Two teams once considered serious contenders will go at it in Pittsburgh on Sunday for what should be a classic AFC tough nose matchup. For the home Steelers, it’s been a different team on the field when playing at Heinz Field, as it will need to be if they want to cling to the remaining playoff chances they have left.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value lies in this one against two former division rivals.

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Details

  • Opening Line: Steelers +2.5, O/U 41.5
  • Current Line: Steelers +1.5, O/U 41.5
  • Last meeting: October 25, 2020, Steelers 27, Titans 24

Overview

Since winning six straight during the middle part of the season, the absence of Derrick Henry has started to catch up with this Titans team, who has now lost two of three, including a bad loss at home to the Texans back on November 21st. This Titans team still ranks #5 in the league in rushing yards and has continued to rely on doing what they do best.

For the Steelers, the up and down final season of Ben Roethlisberger’s career continued last week in Minnesota, as the team couldn’t overcome a terrible first half despite a late rally that saw Roethlisberger eclipsed the 300-yard mark. While the defense has been solid, the Steelers’ 30th rank rushing attack has yet to get going behind an offensive line filled with issues.

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Trends

  • Titans 4-1 ATS in L5 following an ATS win
  • Titans 5-1 to the Over in L6 in role of road favorite
  • Steelers 4-1 in L5 following an ATS loss

Bottom Line

In addition to the Steelers’ rushing woes on the offensive side of the ball, they also haven’t been able to stop the run in their own right. Coming into Sunday, they’re allowing 88.4 yards per game, 28th in the league, which could spell trouble vs. a team in the Titans that loves to pound the rock.

In this one, I look for the mobility of Ryan Tannehill to be the difference and for Sunday to be the nail in the coffin for a team that has slept walk through most of the season.

Pick: Titans -1.5

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