Thor Nystrom’s College Football Power Rankings for Every Team (Final Preseason)

We’re just days away from the return of college football. Real games with real stakes (and real lines to bet on). A couple of months ago, I released my initial College Football Power Rankings. Now, it’s time for the final version. No edits. No take backsies. We’re locking it in and letting it ride. Once again, we’re going to rank Every. Single. Team. For a more comprehensive breakdown, see below for all of my conference previews where I write up every team in detail.

Thor Nystrom’s College Football Power Rankings

Note: In the table below, ATL is my system’s adjusted spread, and ATT is my system’s adjusted total.

Rank	Team	ATL	2022	Change	Conference	Proj Wins
1	Georgia	53.0	1	0	SEC	11.71
2	Michigan	51.4	2	0	B1G	11.17
3	Ohio St.	51.2	3	0	B1G	10.76
4	Texas	46.7	7	3	B12	10.63
5	LSU	46.5	14	9	SEC	9.95
6	Alabama	46.4	4	-2	SEC	9.70
7	USC	44.5	13	6	P12	10.22
8	Clemson	44.3	10	2	ACC	10.38
9	Penn St.	44.1	9	0	B1G	10.08
10	Florida St.	43.9	15	5	ACC	10.26
11	Notre Dame	42.6	21	10	IND	9.51
12	Oregon	42.4	12	0	P12	9.91
13	Washington	41.8	17	4	P12	9.86
14	Texas A&M	41.2	43	29	SEC	8.58
15	Utah	40.6	6	-9	P12	8.88
16	Tennessee	40.3	11	-5	SEC	8.44
17	Ole Miss	39.7	16	-1	SEC	7.79
18	Oklahoma	38.8	24	6	B12	9.86
19	Wisconsin	37.7	37	18	B1G	9.64
20	Kentucky	36.2	28	8	SEC	7.65
21	Oregon St.	35.6	20	-1	P12	8.99
22	Texas Tech	35.4	36	14	B12	7.89
23	North Carolina	35.2	45	22	ACC	8.72
24	Arkansas	35.0	29	5	SEC	7.03
25	TCU	34.9	5	-20	B12	7.90
26	Auburn	34.8	49	23	SEC	6.91
27	UCLA	34.7	23	-4	P12	9.06
28	Florida	34.5	33	5	SEC	5.79
29	Iowa	34.2	27	-2	B1G	8.71
30	Baylor	34.1	26	-4	B12	7.79
31	Miami (FL)	33.6	72	41	ACC	7.82
32	Kansas St.	33.4	8	-24	B12	7.23
33	Louisville	32.9	31	-2	ACC	8.60
34	Minnesota	32.5	19	-15	B1G	6.96
35	South Carolina	32.2	30	-5	SEC	5.95
36	Missouri	32.0	48	12	SEC	6.15
37	Maryland	31.6	32	-5	B1G	7.56
38	UCF	30.7	38	0	B12	7.10
39	Mississippi St.	30.5	18	-21	SEC	5.75
40	North Carolina St.	30.3	44	4	ACC	7.28
41	Duke	30.1	53	12	ACC	6.59
42	Illinois	29.7	22	-20	B1G	6.54
43	Tulane	29.2	25	-18	AAC	9.43
44	Pittsburgh	28.9	39	-5	ACC	6.21
45	Oklahoma St.	28.8	35	-10	B12	7.18
46	Kansas	28.6	59	13	B12	6.06
47	Nebraska	28.5	70	23	B1G	6.50
48	Michigan St.	27.4	61	13	B1G	5.10
49	SMU	27.1	57	8	AAC	8.96
50	Iowa St.	27.0	51	1	B12	4.94
51	UTSA	26.9	46	-5	AAC	8.75
52	Syracuse	26.8	54	2	ACC	6.98
53	Boise St.	26.4	56	3	MWC	8.66
54	Memphis	26.1	52	-2	AAC	9.05
55	Brigham Young	25.9	68	13	B12	4.95
56	West Virginia	25.2	62	6	B12	4.30
57	Wake Forest	25.0	41	-16	ACC	5.79
58	Washington St.	24.7	42	-16	P12	5.66
59	Purdue	24.6	40	-19	B1G	4.73
60	Houston	24.5	58	-2	B12	4.53
61	Cincinnati	24.4	34	-27	B12	5.50
62	California	24.3	73	11	P12	4.20
63	Toledo	24.2	76	13	MAC	10.37
64	South Alabama	23.9	50	-14	SBC	8.57
65	Troy	23.2	47	-18	SBC	8.79
66	Arizona	22.4	77	11	P12	4.56
67	Arizona St.	21.1	79	12	P12	3.91
68	Boston College	20.8	107	39	ACC	5.78
69	Colorado	20.7	122	53	P12	3.40
70	Marshall	20.5	67	-3	SBC	7.58
71	Florida Atlantic	20.0	93	22	AAC	7.01
72	San Diego St.	19.9	81	9	MWC	7.22
73	Fresno St.	19.7	63	-10	MWC	8.22
74	James Madison	19.5	55	-19	SBC	7.82
75	Air Force	19.4	60	-15	MWC	8.27
76	Appalachian St.	19.1	66	-10	SBC	7.49
77	Wyoming	18.8	99	22	MWC	6.91
78	Western Kentucky	18.6	65	-13	CUSA	8.47
79	Rutgers	18.5	97	18	B1G	3.77
80	North Texas	18.4	80	0	AAC	6.56
81	Virginia Tech	18.3	95	14	ACC	3.93
82	Vanderbilt	18.0	89	7	SEC	3.04
83	Georgia Tech	17.8	96	13	ACC	3.41
84	Virginia	17.5	88	4	ACC	3.32
85	Southern Miss	16.9	85	0	SBC	5.94
86	Coastal Carolina	16.3	75	-11	SBC	6.99
87	Indiana	16.1	86	-1	B1G	2.81
88	Ohio	15.9	92	4	MAC	7.64
89	Northwestern	15.7	103	14	B1G	2.56
90	Temple	15.5	106	16	AAC	5.49
91	Liberty	15.3	78	-13	CUSA	8.69
92	Louisiana	15.2	71	-21	SBC	6.82
93	Rice	14.9	116	23	AAC	5.20
94	Navy	14.6	82	-12	AAC	5.72
95	Army	14.4	74	-21	IND	5.88
96	East Carolina	14.3	64	-32	AAC	4.61
97	Georgia St.	13.8	83	-14	SBC	5.23
98	Georgia Southern	13.5	91	-7	SBC	6.14
99	Miami (OH)	13.4	110	11	MAC	6.81
100	Colorado St.	13.3	126	26	MWC	5.58
101	Northern Illinois	12.9	123	22	MAC	6.29
102	Connecticut	12.7	114	12	IND	5.26
103	San Jose St.	12.5	87	-16	MWC	4.71
104	Eastern Michigan	12.3	98	-6	MAC	6.99
105	UTEP	12.0	101	-4	CUSA	6.43
106	Stanford	11.7	90	-16	P12	2.06
107	Central Michigan	11.5	108	1	MAC	4.79
108	Ball St.	11.2	112	4	MAC	5.53
109	Louisiana Tech	11.1	121	12	CUSA	5.58
110	South Florida	10.9	119	9	AAC	4.12
111	Buffalo	10.7	100	-11	MAC	5.57
112	UNLV	10.6	104	-8	MWC	5.09
113	Middle Tennessee	10.4	94	-19	CUSA	5.39
114	UAB	10.1	69	-45	AAC	3.55
115	Old Dominion	9.9	109	-6	SBC	3.50
116	Tulsa	9.2	84	-32	AAC	3.15
117	Arkansas St.	8.5	113	-4	SBC	4.02
118	Akron	8.0	125	7	MAC	4.45
119	Sam Houston	7.8	FCS	N/A	CUSA	4.22
120	New Mexico St.	7.2	115	-5	CUSA	5.67
121	Nevada	7.0	127	6	MWC	4.00
122	Hawai’i	6.7	128	6	MWC	4.28
123	Bowling Green	6.3	120	-3	MAC	3.71
124	Utah St.	6.2	105	-19	MWC	3.05
125	Jacksonville St.	6.0	FCS	N/A	CUSA	3.99
126	Charlotte	5.8	124	-2	AAC	2.50
127	Texas St.	5.2	111	-16	SBC	2.83
128	Louisiana-Monroe	4.6	117	-11	SBC	2.33
129	Florida International	4.3	130	1	CUSA	3.21
130	New Mexico	4.0	129	-1	MWC	3.59
131	Western Michigan	3.4	118	-13	MAC	2.40
132	Kent St.	0.7	102	-30	MAC	2.01
133	Massachusetts	0.0	131	-2	IND	1.87

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