Thor Nystrom’s Projected College Football Standings for Every Conference: Week 3 (2023)
My system for projecting team win totals and power rankings also allows me to project things like bowl matchups and final conference standings. Each week, I’ll provide an update on my projected college football standings for every conference based on the previous week’s games and my system’s adjustments. Here are my projected standings for every team in every conference heading into Week 3.
Projected College Football Conference Standings: Week 3
| Power Rank | Team | Proj Wins | Proj Conf Wins | Conference |
| 45 | Memphis | 10.5 | 7.2 | AAC |
| 50 | SMU | 9.2 | 6.9 | AAC |
| 57 | Tulane | 9.1 | 6.3 | AAC |
| 67 | UTSA | 8.0 | 6.2 | AAC |
| 85 | Florida Atlantic | 5.6 | 4.5 | AAC |
| 93 | Rice | 6.4 | 3.6 | AAC |
| 112 | Tulsa | 4.8 | 3.3 | AAC |
| 109 | UAB | 4.9 | 3.3 | AAC |
| 106 | East Carolina | 4.0 | 2.8 | AAC |
| 135 | UTEP | 4.1 | 2.7 | AAC |
| 121 | Temple | 4.5 | 2.5 | AAC |
| 130 | Charlotte | 3.5 | 2.2 | AAC |
| 143 | North Texas | 2.6 | 1.5 | AAC |
| 5 | Florida St. | 11.2 | 7.4 | ACC |
| 19 | Miami (FL) | 9.8 | 5.8 | ACC |
| 40 | Louisville | 8.0 | 5.5 | ACC |
| 24 | North Carolina | 9.0 | 5.2 | ACC |
| 25 | Syracuse | 8.8 | 5.1 | ACC |
| 33 | Duke | 8.2 | 5.0 | ACC |
| 21 | Clemson | 7.5 | 4.5 | ACC |
| 46 | Pittsburgh | 5.4 | 3.8 | ACC |
| 52 | North Carolina St. | 6.3 | 3.5 | ACC |
| 53 | Wake Forest | 6.0 | 3.0 | ACC |
| 76 | Virginia Tech | 4.2 | 2.5 | ACC |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | 4.0 | 2.0 | ACC |
| 101 | Virginia | 2.1 | 1.4 | ACC |
| 102 | Boston College | 3.3 | 1.1 | ACC |
| 3 | Texas | 11.3 | 8.3 | B12 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 10.6 | 7.6 | B12 |
| 18 | Kansas St. | 9.4 | 6.6 | B12 |
| 39 | Cincinnati | 8.2 | 5.2 | B12 |
| 28 | UCF | 8.2 | 5.2 | B12 |
| 29 | Texas Tech | 6.0 | 5.0 | B12 |
| 38 | TCU | 5.8 | 4.1 | B12 |
| 49 | Baylor | 4.7 | 3.7 | B12 |
| 54 | Oklahoma St. | 6.3 | 3.7 | B12 |
| 42 | Kansas | 6.5 | 3.5 | B12 |
| 51 | Iowa St. | 4.7 | 2.9 | B12 |
| 63 | West Virginia | 4.2 | 2.8 | B12 |
| 64 | Brigham Young | 4.5 | 2.4 | B12 |
| 68 | Houston | 3.9 | 2.0 | B12 |
| 2 | Michigan | 11.0 | 8.0 | B1G |
| 4 | Ohio St. | 10.4 | 7.9 | B1G |
| 8 | Penn St. | 10.6 | 7.6 | B1G |
| 27 | Iowa | 9.2 | 6.2 | B1G |
| 26 | Wisconsin | 8.6 | 6.2 | B1G |
| 35 | Maryland | 7.6 | 4.6 | B1G |
| 44 | Minnesota | 6.7 | 4.5 | B1G |
| 56 | Illinois | 5.8 | 3.9 | B1G |
| 59 | Purdue | 4.7 | 3.4 | B1G |
| 48 | Michigan St. | 5.3 | 3.2 | B1G |
| 61 | Nebraska | 4.5 | 2.7 | B1G |
| 60 | Rutgers | 5.4 | 2.7 | B1G |
| 77 | Indiana | 3.6 | 1.5 | B1G |
| 86 | Northwestern | 3.0 | 1.0 | B1G |
| 71 | Western Kentucky | 9.3 | 6.8 | CUSA |
| 83 | Liberty | 9.7 | 6.2 | CUSA |
| 119 | Middle Tennessee | 5.8 | 4.0 | CUSA |
| 123 | Jacksonville St. | 5.5 | 4.0 | CUSA |
| 127 | Louisiana Tech | 5.7 | 3.9 | CUSA |
| 125 | Sam Houston | 4.6 | 3.6 | CUSA |
| 148 | New Mexico St. | 4.5 | 2.6 | CUSA |
| 126 | South Florida | 4.0 | 2.5 | CUSA |
| 150 | Florida International | 4.6 | 2.2 | CUSA |
| 122 | Navy | 4.8 | 3.2 | IND |
| 99 | Army | 5.3 | 0.9 | IND |
| 133 | Connecticut | 3.7 | 0.7 | IND |
| 163 | Massachusetts | 3.6 | 0.4 | IND |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 10.3 | 0.0 | IND |
| 55 | Toledo | 10.6 | 7.7 | MAC |
| 92 | Ohio | 8.2 | 6.0 | MAC |
| 107 | Miami (OH) | 6.9 | 4.9 | MAC |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | 6.5 | 4.9 | MAC |
| 128 | Eastern Michigan | 6.3 | 4.0 | MAC |
| 131 | Buffalo | 4.1 | 3.6 | MAC |
| 134 | Ball St. | 4.7 | 3.5 | MAC |
| 141 | Akron | 4.5 | 3.4 | MAC |
| 136 | Bowling Green | 4.2 | 3.1 | MAC |
| 140 | Central Michigan | 4.0 | 2.9 | MAC |
| 151 | Western Michigan | 3.4 | 2.4 | MAC |
| 172 | Kent St. | 2.6 | 1.6 | MAC |
| 65 | Boise St. | 7.2 | 6.1 | MWC |
| 78 | Wyoming | 8.2 | 5.7 | MWC |
| 74 | Air Force | 9.1 | 5.6 | MWC |
| 75 | Fresno St. | 9.1 | 5.5 | MWC |
| 95 | San Diego St. | 6.4 | 4.4 | MWC |
| 103 | UNLV | 6.4 | 4.3 | MWC |
| 96 | San Jose St. | 5.2 | 4.1 | MWC |
| 105 | Utah St. | 5.9 | 3.9 | MWC |
| 138 | Hawai’i | 4.2 | 2.7 | MWC |
| 145 | Colorado St. | 3.4 | 2.2 | MWC |
| 147 | New Mexico | 4.0 | 2.0 | MWC |
| 167 | Nevada | 1.5 | 1.5 | MWC |
| 6 | USC | 10.2 | 7.7 | P12 |
| 10 | Oregon | 10.1 | 7.1 | P12 |
| 11 | Washington | 9.7 | 6.8 | P12 |
| 16 | Oregon St. | 8.9 | 5.9 | P12 |
| 15 | Utah | 8.9 | 5.9 | P12 |
| 23 | UCLA | 8.6 | 5.6 | P12 |
| 37 | Washington St. | 6.9 | 4.4 | P12 |
| 36 | Colorado | 7.0 | 4.0 | P12 |
| 43 | California | 5.4 | 3.1 | P12 |
| 58 | Arizona | 4.7 | 2.7 | P12 |
| 91 | Arizona St. | 2.3 | 0.6 | P12 |
| 100 | Stanford | 2.0 | 0.3 | P12 |
| 79 | Troy | 7.4 | 5.4 | SBC |
| 69 | Marshall | 8.1 | 5.3 | SBC |
| 80 | South Alabama | 7.3 | 5.3 | SBC |
| 73 | Appalachian St. | 7.5 | 5.2 | SBC |
| 72 | Coastal Carolina | 7.8 | 5.2 | SBC |
| 88 | Texas St. | 7.4 | 4.6 | SBC |
| 82 | Georgia Southern | 7.3 | 4.4 | SBC |
| 81 | James Madison | 7.8 | 4.3 | SBC |
| 98 | Louisiana | 6.3 | 3.9 | SBC |
| 87 | Georgia St. | 6.4 | 3.7 | SBC |
| 117 | Southern Miss | 4.5 | 3.4 | SBC |
| 118 | Old Dominion | 3.9 | 2.6 | SBC |
| 137 | Louisiana-Monroe | 4.0 | 2.0 | SBC |
| 169 | Arkansas St. | 2.2 | 0.8 | SBC |
| 1 | Georgia | 11.5 | 7.5 | SEC |
| 7 | Alabama | 9.4 | 6.4 | SEC |
| 13 | LSU | 8.7 | 5.7 | SEC |
| 17 | Tennessee | 8.8 | 4.9 | SEC |
| 14 | Ole Miss | 8.8 | 4.8 | SEC |
| 20 | Texas A&M | 7.1 | 4.1 | SEC |
| 30 | Kentucky | 7.3 | 3.8 | SEC |
| 22 | Auburn | 7.2 | 3.5 | SEC |
| 34 | Florida | 5.4 | 3.3 | SEC |
| 41 | South Carolina | 5.6 | 3.3 | SEC |
| 31 | Arkansas | 6.7 | 2.9 | SEC |
| 47 | Missouri | 5.6 | 2.8 | SEC |
| 32 | Mississippi St. | 6.7 | 2.7 | SEC |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | 3.0 | 0.5 | SEC |
The standings above also provide insight into projected conference winners. Below are the current College Football Conference Winner Odds at every major sportsbook, with the opening odds and best current odds highlighted on the left side. Compare the dynamic odds below with my projections above to find the best values in real time based on all of the recent movement and where things are headed.
NCAAF Conference Winner Odds
What is a Futures Bet?
A futures bet is a wager on something that will likely take days or weeks to come to fruition. As opposed to a bet on a single game that pays out once it goes final, a futures bet may depend on multiple games or an entire season.
There are many examples of futures bets. For the four major sports (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL), one can always find a futures bet on which team will win that sport's respective championship. In addition, there are futures bets on what team will win each division or conference, among others.
Thor Nystrom's Conference Preview Series
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced sports betting strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.