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Top 3 College Football Picks & Predictions: Oregon State vs. Colorado (Week 10)

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Prime Numbers takes a weekly look at the best bets in the upcoming Colorado Buffaloes game. Coach Prime and his Buffs took another one on the chin last week but if you tailed my picks you went 2-1. The lone loss was Carson Steele 80+ Rush Yards and he finished with 72 yards on 10 carries and saw the bench most of the second half after his second fumble of the day.

Last Week: 2-1-0

2023 Season: 12-11-0

PRIME NUMBERS: Week 10 – #16 Oregon State Beavers (6-2, 3-2) at Colorado Buffaloes (4-4, 1-4)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

1 – Oregon State Moneyline (-520)

Oregon State is 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the Pac-12. However, they remain ranked #16 because their two losses were each by three points meaning they are two possessions from being 8-0. The same cannot be said for Coach Prime and his Buffs as their four losses have come by an average of 14.5 points with just one loss being as close as three points. Even that three-point loss to Stanford came in 2OT after blowing a 29-0 halftime lead. I always hesitate to give 13.5 points to a team like Colorado who has been adept at the backdoor cover and that’s exactly what they did last week. Oregon State will be refocused following their 27-24 loss to Arizona last week and they know with top-10 matchups against Washington and Oregon to end the season they must beat Colorado and Stanford in these next two games if they want to have any chance at the Playoff or even a New Year’s Six bowl.

2 – Under 62.5 Total Points (-115)

I’m going back to the Under 62.5 well again and I’m gonna drink until I’ve had my fill…or it fails to hit. Six of Oregon State’s eight games have finished under this 62,5 number. Colorado has seen half of their games this season go under this number. Oregon State knows they have to win this game and will run the ball heavily to shorten the game and try and get home to Corvallis with their fourth Pac-12 victory. Oregon State also ranks 12th in the country with 26.0 sacks this season so Shedeur Sanders should be under pressure all day leading to another pedestrian offensive showing for Colorado thanks to their repeatedly mentioned Swiss cheese-like offensive line. Additionally, the Beavers boast the 38th-ranked scoring defense (21.12 points allowed) in the country. The three previous times this season Colorado has faced opponents switch coring defenses inside the Top 38, the Buffs have averaged just 19.3 points and all three of those games have finished under 62.5.

3 – Damien Martinez 80+ Rush Yards (-240)

Martinez has rushed for 81+ in seven of eight games this season. This number is almost automatic when you consider the Buffaloes are ranked 131st in the nation in rushing defense. Martinez averages 95.4 rushing yards per game for the season. Additionally, even if you took away his outlier games in either direction (65 – low. 145 – high) his average remains nearly identical at 92.2. Martinez is rushing for 6.4 yards per carry on the season and has not averaged fewer than 4.1 ypc in any game this season. All of this points toward the sophomore stud hitting this number easily like he has all year.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:


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Luke Monaldo is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @MoKnowsSports. For more from Luke, check out his archive.

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