Top 3 MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (5/2)
Let’s dive into our top MLB picks. There is a good slate of games to choose from, and we’ll look at some to play for this Thursday, May 2nd.
Thursday’s MLB Top Picks
Let’s dive into our top three MLB picks for today’s slate of games.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Colorado Rockies (+140) at Miami Marlins (-166) | O/U 7.5 (-115/-105)
The Rockies have done a good job scoring when not on the road thanks to their home advantage at Mile High. They’re scoring an average of 4.15 runs per game at home, which is 15th, compared to the 3.47 runs on the road, which is 26th. Peter Lambert will serve as the opener as they hope to get at least four innings from him.
Colorado’s bullpen has not been great this year, with a 5.50 ERA, and they’ve especially been awful in this series. The Marlins made a statement in the first game of this series by coming back from being down 5-0 by scoring seven runs between the ninth and tenth to win. They then padded a lead on Wednesday with two in the eighth for another win. When Edward Cabrera is on, he has nasty stuff. He’s 96th percentile in average exit velocity and 89th in chase rate. The problem is that he tends to leave the ball over the plate and get crushed.
Bet on Cabrera to have a great outing against what has been an awful Rockies lineup.
Pick: Marlins Moneyline (-166)
Chicago Cubs (-105) at New York Mets (-115) | O/U 8.5 (-102/-118)
The Cubs have the 2-1 series advantage going into the final game. Chicago hasn’t put up much of an offensive effort, including grabbing just one run yesterday, but that was all they needed in a 1-0 win. However, it did end with a controversial call at the plate for the final out. It hasn’t been a great start to Ben Brown’s career, as he is winless in four starts and has an expected ERA in just the 12th percentile.
The Mets’ offense hasn’t been much better, putting up only five runs in this series. It’s been a rough patch for them after winning six straight, as they are just 3-7 since. It’s been a brutal season for Adrian Houser, as he has yet to record a win, has an 8.37 ERA, and has a 12% walk rate.
The score has trended low throughout this series, but with this pitching matchup, it will change.
Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-102)
San Francisco Giants (-102) at Boston Red Sox (-118) | O/U 8.5 (+100/-120)
The Red Sox have claimed both games and will try to get a sweep in the matinee. The Red Sox bats have been alive the last few games as they put up 32 runs in the last four, with 17 coming in one game. They already have the best ERA in the league (2.57), so it could be an exciting season in Boston if we see the offense play up to par. It’s bullpen day for the Red Sox as Josh Winckowski gets the ball, and he’s yet to pitch more than four innings.
The Giants were aggressive in free agency, but it hasn’t led to success. They are just 14-17 and have yet to win more than two straight. Kyle Harrison is San Fransisco’s top prospect, and while he hasn’t been outstanding, he comes with a great fastball and elite command.
Boston is 20th against left-handed pitching, and Harrison can go six innings and should help the Giants salvage a game in this series.
Pick: Giants Moneyline (-102)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday: