Top 5 NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bet Picks: Texans vs. Ravens (Saturday)

by Derek Brown |
Jan 18, 2024

The Divisional Round is here, and there's money to be made betting props this week. We have a plethora of juicy matchups to smash the overs for and some stingy defenses that should lead to some unders.

The first step to building to profiting this week, whether you're straight betting any of these lines or constructing some juicy parlays, is to pull up our Prop Bet Analyzer at Bettingpros.com and then tail these bets and more by hitting my profile at BettingPros.

Enjoy another fantastic week of football with some NFL prop action. Enjoy the sweats, and let's stack some cash this week.

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Texans vs. Ravens Divisional Round Prop Bet Picks

Lamar Jackson o226.5 passing yards

Jackson has sailed over this yardage line in four of his last six games. Since Week 11, he has been fifth in yards per attempt, eighth in passing touchdowns, and fourth in passer rating and CPOE. Houston has been a torchable pass defense for most of the season. Since Week 14, they have allowed the 13th-highest yards per attempt and passing yards per game and the third-highest CPOE. Jackson should light this pass-funnel defense up.

C.J. Stroud o243.5 passing yards

Stroud has surpassed this yardage total in six of his last eight games, and heâ€™s poised to do it again this week. Since Week 11, he has ranked third in yards per attempt and fifth in passer rating. Since Week 14, Baltimore has allowed the 12th-lowest yards per attempt, the sixth-lowest passer rating, and the seventh-lowest CPOE, but the Ravensâ€™ secondary has also shown some give. In the same span, they have yielded the seventh-most passing yards per game. Since Week 14, Baltimore has the fifth-highest rate of two-high (60.6%). Since Week 11 among 23 qualifying quarterbacks, Stroud ranks first in yards per attempt and CPOE against two-high. While Devin Singletary will have room to chew up Baltimore on the ground this week, donâ€™t sleep on Stroud; also having a strong day passing.

Devin Singletary o56.5 rushing yards

Singletary remains the Texans' clear workhorse. He has eclipsed this rushing mark in four of his last five games. In four of his last five games, he has played at least 62% of the snaps while averaging 22.5 touches and 97.7 total yards in those four games. Among 49 qualifying backs, Singletary ranks 19th in explosive run rate and 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt. Singletary is one of the best plays of the slate. Since Week 13, Baltimore has been a run funnel defense, allowing the seventh-most rushing yards per game.

Nico Collins o79.5 receiving yards

Stroud has leaned on him heavily in recent weeks. Since Week 16, he has had a 30% target share, a 45.2% air-yard share, 49% of the team's receiving yardage, 5.3 yards per route run, and a 35.5% first-read share. Since Week 14, Baltimore has the fifth-highest rate of two-high (60.6%). Across his last five games played without Tank Dell in the lineup, Collins has had a 33% TPRR and 6.45 YPRR against two-high. Collins will smash again this week. Since Week 14, Baltimore has ranked 15th in receiving yards per game allowed to perimeter wide receivers. Collins has cleared 79.5 receiving yards in four of his last six games.

Odell Beckham Jr. o31.5 receiving yards

Beckham Jr.'s playing time has fluctuated this season, but he has played at least 53% of the snaps in three of his last four games, and we could see his usage climb even higher this week. It's win-or-go-home time, and the Ravens have kept Beckham Jr. in bubble wrap all year, but now is the time to unleash him. Since Week 14, Houston has utilized two-high at the third-highest rate (61.8%). In Weeks 1-17, Beckham ranked second on the team in TPRR (24%) and YPRR (1.70) against two high while leading the way in air-yard share (30.7%). If we zoom in further to Weeks 12-17, Beckham Jr.'s numbers get even better with a 37.7% air-yard share, a 25% TPRR, and 2.23 YPRR against two high. Since Week 14, Houston has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Beckham has had more than 32.5 receiving yards in seven of his last ten games.

*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data and Bettingpros.com unless otherwise specified.*

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