Top 50 Prop Bets for Super Bowl LVIII (49ers vs. Chiefs)
It’s that time of year!
We’ve compiled the 50 greatest prop bets for Super Bowl LVIII between the San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs.
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The 50 Greatest Super Bowl LVIII Prop Bets
Here's my list of the 50 best prop wagers being offered, with odds and sportsbook provided (odds subject to change):
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50. Will an Offensive Lineman Score a Touchdown? (Yes: +3500)
Unfortunately, the Detroit Lions didn’t make the Super Bowl. It’s unlikely the Chiefs or 49ers will pull this type of trickery.
49. What Will Happen First? Sack vs. Touchdown (Touchdown -150, Sack +125)
Brock Purdy and Patrick Mahomes threw two more touchdowns than sacks. Add on the rushing touchdowns, and it’s more likely that we’ll get a touchdown before a sack.
48. Most Trips To the Red Zone? (49ers -115, Chiefs -115)
San Francisco had 3.8 red zone scoring attempts per game this season. The Chiefs had 3.7. It’s a slight edge, but the Niners have it.
47. Will There be More Passing Touchdowns or Field Goals Made? (Touchdowns -300, Field Goals Made +400, Tie +800)
I’m mainly expecting rushing touchdowns from both teams. Patrick Mahomes only has four passing touchdowns in three games in the playoffs. Meanwhile, Brock Purdy only threw two passing touchdowns in two playoff games.
More Field Goals Made at +400 has some value.
46. Any Player To Have +150 Combined Rush/Rec Yards (Yes: -115, No -105)
Christian McCaffrey is most likely to hit this. He’s had many games with 150+ all-purpose yards this season. But you also can’t rule out Deebo Samuel or Isiah Pacheco. Pacheco has had games with six or more targets this season. So he’s a threat in the passing game on top of his running ability.
45. Jersey Number of 1st Touchdown (Over 22.5: -120 | Under 22.5: +100)
The cut-off is 22.5 because McCaffrey is No. 23.
If you like the 49ers to score first, you’d take the Over at -120.
44. Jersey Number of Last Touchdown (Over 22.5: -110 | Under 22.5: -110)
The last touchdown typically goes to wide receivers more frequently. That’s why the odds have changed slightly.
43. Most Time Of Possession (49ers: -115 | Chiefs: -110)
The 49ers had a higher average time of possession, excluding overtime this season. However, the Chiefs have played so well defensively that it’s more likely Patrick Mahomes holds on to the ball and limits turnovers more. I like the Chiefs to win this bet.
42. Brock Purdy Yards Gain On 1st Completion? (Over 10.5 -105 | Under 10.5: -125)
It’s probably unlikely Brock Purdy will make a big play down the field on his first completion. The Niners will want to ease him in with an easy throw.
41. Patrick Mahomes Yards Gain On 1st Completion? (Over 8.5 -105 | Under 8.5: -125)
Mahomes gained the least amount of yards per throw this season with seven yards per. That’s why the Under is the favorite in this one, too.
40. Any Team To Score 30+ Points (Yes: +110 | No: -135)
The total projects 47.5 points. With the spread sitting at -2 for the 49ers, both teams are expected to reach the 20s. The Chiefs have had previous success with getting 40 points against the Niners.
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39. Patrick Mahomes & Brock Purdy to Combine for 50+ Rushing Yards (Yes: +150)
Brock Purdy showed off his legs against the Lions with five carries and 48 yards. He also took off for six carries against the Packers.
The Chiefs will defend him better, but Purdy is sneaky and athletic and could earn some big plays down the field when needed. We also know how effectively Patrick Mahomes earns extra yardage and first downs with his legs. At +150, I don’t hate this.
38. Chris Jones & Nick Bosa to Both Record .5+ Sacks Each (Yes: +290)
It’s unlikely we’ll see a ton of sacks in this game. Purdy and Mahomes haven’t been sacked at a ridiculous rate this year. Still, Jones and Bosa are two of the best defensive linemen in the game.
37. 49ers Score 0 Points in Fourth Quarter (Yes: +380)
The 49ers failed to score in the fourth quarter against the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV, allowing the Chiefs to go 21-0 in the fourth quarter to lose. However, against the Lions in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers were terrific in the second half.
They have too many weapons to stay silent when it matters the most.
36. Color of First Gatorade Poured on Winning Head Coach (Red/Pink: +260 | Orange: +360 | Yellow: +380)
It’s been orange in five of the last 14 years. However, red is the most common color of Gatorade that has never been dumped on a winning coach. That’s why there’s speculation that red will win, especially with the Niners and Chiefs, whose primary color is red.
35. Will There Be A Scorigami (Yes: +2500 | No: -10000)
To get a unique score, we’ll likely need a safety, a blocked extra point, missed two-point conversions, and some other crazy stuff to happen. If you want to put a dollar on Yes, go for it.
34. Coin Toss (Heads: -104 | Tails: -104)
San Francisco won the toss in Super Bowl LIV with tails. Meanwhile, the Chiefs won the subsequent two Super Bowl appearances with heads and then tails.
It’s a 50-50 bet. There’s no analysis for this.
33. Any Player To Record Octopus? (Yes: +980 | No: -2500)
An octopus is when a player scores a touchdown and then scores the two-point conversion on the same touchdown drive. It’s rare, so you’re looking at +980 odds.
32. Safety During Game (Yes: +1260 | No: -4000)
Does anyone remember when Peyton Manning and the Broncos gave the Seahawks a safety in the first play from scrimmage in Super Bowl XLVIII?
You never know what could happen!
31. Patrick Mahomes To Win MVP vs. Field (Yes: +140 | Field -175)
Patrick Mahomes will likely win the award if you like the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.
30. Brock Purdy To Win MVP vs. Field (Yes: +200 | Field -280)
Meanwhile, if you like the 49ers, Purdy could lose the Super Bowl MVP to Christian McCaffrey if McCaffrey scores 2+ touchdowns and adds 150+ yards from scrimmage, as we alluded to earlier.
29. Patrick Mahomes vs. Brock Purdy Passing Yards (Mahomes -18.5: -110 | Purdy +18.5: -110 )
Purdy threw for more yards in the air than Patrick Mahomes this year. I think the Chiefs will be ahead, forcing Purdy and the Niners to throw the ball more in the second half.
While I like the Chiefs to win, Purdy could end up with more passing yards. At +18.5, I’d roll with that.
28. Travis Kelce 3+ Receptions In Each Half (Yes: -110)
For Kelce’s expectations, he didn’t perform at a high level this season. However, in the playoffs, he’s seen 27 targets in three games, which is nine targets per game. In the AFC Championship Game, Kelce added 11 catches on 11 targets against Baltimore.
He’ll be a major portion of the game plan. This isn’t a horrible bet at all.
27. 1+ TDs to be scored in Each Quarter (Yes: +125)
Oddsmakers are projecting about 48 points for this game. That would mean we’d see about 12 points per quarter, which would be enough to get one touchdown in each quarter. It’s not as easy as it sounds, but both offenses are high-powered and good enough to get the job done.
Only one team would need to score a touchdown per quarter. Not both.
26. Kelce or McCaffrey Score First Touchdown (Yes: +200)
Other than Isiah Pacheco, these two will be the most bet on players to score the first touchdown. At +200, the odds aren’t excellent, but this is an exciting bet that could ultimately hit.
The Greatest Bets at Caesars
25. Position of MVP Winner (Quarterback: -250 | Running Back: +375 | Wide Receiver: +800 | Tight End: +900)
Tight End at +900 has some legs to it.
What if Kelce adds 11 catches on 11 targets with more than 100 yards receiving and two touchdowns? The NFL would absolutely consider giving him the MVP. That would boost ratings and the NFL’s reputation like no other.
24. Will a Missed Kick Hit an Upright? (Yes: +700 | No: -1100)
Jake Moody wasn’t the most consistent kicker this season for the 49ers. He only made 84% of field goals and is a rookie. If any kicker misses, it’ll probably be Moody under the bright lights. But you’re just playing the lottery trying to figure out if a miss will hit an upright.
23. Comeback Win From Double-Digit Deficit (Yes: +350) | No: -450)
In Super Bowl LIV, the Chiefs came back down double digits in the fourth quarter to defeat the 49ers. We also just saw the 49ers earn a massive come-from-behind win over the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship Game.
A big swing in this game has potential. At +350, it’s worth a sprinkle.
22. Will There Be a Score on The Final Play of the Game? (Yes: +600 | No: -900)
With this bet, you’re just hoping for a team to be up by multiple scores, so they’ll need it on the final play.
21. What Will Be the Longest In the Game? (Longest Touchdown Scored: +160 | First Punt: -105)
Kansas City averaged a little over 41 yards a punt. Meanwhile, San Francisco averaged 42.6 yards per punt.
The longest touchdown would probably have to be 45+ yards to cash. The first punt seems more likely.
20. First Team To 10 Points (49ers: -115 | Chiefs: -115)
I’ve said this multiple times, but I like the Chiefs to get out to an early lead in this one.
19. First Team To 20 Points (49ers: -115 | Chiefs: -115)
Ultimately, you’d bet the team you’re hoping or expecting to win.
18. Game to be Tied After 0-0 (Yes: -140 | No +110)
You’d take the Yes if you believe we’ll get a back-and-forth game. Personally, I think one team will get out to a heavy lead early.
17. Three Unanswered Scores In Game (Yes: -160 | No +130)
Therefore, I like this bet to cash at -160. The Chiefs did this to the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.
16. Will Both Teams Lead In The First Half? (Yes: +130 | No -160)
To cash at +130, one team just has to nail a field goal, and the other has to score a touchdown. There are other scenarios where this hits, too. It’s a fun bet to cheer on if you’re into that.
The Greatest Bets at ESPNBet
15. Mr Irrelevant To Record Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns & Over 249.5 Passing Yards (Yes: +470)
Mr. Irrelevant is referring to Brock Purdy. He might get 250 passing yards, but the Niners’ touchdowns will likely be on the ground to Christian McCaffrey.
14. Chiefs To Lead At Halftime & 49ers To Win Super Bowl (Yes: +700)
This would be the opposite of Super Bowl LIV. But this is ultimately what happened in the NFC Championship Game. Could the 49ers do it again?
13. Travis Kelce To Win MVP (Yes: +1500)
Instead of betting Tight Ends at +900, you can find Travis Kelce to win the MVP at +1500 on ESPNBet.
12. Mahomes & Purdy Each to Record Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns & Over 249.5 Passing Yards (Yes: +540)
I still don’t think we’ll get a shootout between Mahomes and Purdy. Instead, I believe Purdy will have to face more pressure and could make bad decisions with the ball. I wouldn’t take this.
11. Christian McCaffrey to Score Over 1.5 Touchdowns (Yes: +225)
If you like the Niners to win and score multiple touchdowns, it’s very likely McCaffrey gets the ball around the red zone. Against the Lions, the 49ers had the ball on the goal line and tried to rush McCaffrey three times before settling on throwing the football on fourth down.
Purdy threw the touchdown pass, but ultimately, the game plan was to give the ball to McCaffrey around that area.
10. Kyle Juszczyk To Score a Touchdown (Yes: +900)
Kristin Juszczyk is making headlines with her clothing work. Her husband, Kyle, won’t get many opportunities to shine. He might get one or two passes his way. +900 isn’t even valuable.
9. A Touchdown To Be Scored In The First 2 Minutes of Super Bowl (Yes: +1200)
The Chiefs and 49ers typically put together slower drives that drains the defenses. Even if there’s a touchdown on the opening drive, it likely won’t come in the first two minutes.
8. Mahomes to Record Under 26.5 Rushing Yards & Chiefs Win (Yes: +325)
Mahomes hasn’t added 27+ rushing yards in his last two playoff games.
The picture of Mahomes shirtless went viral, which is ultimately why this is a bet. However, Mahomes is super good at scrambling and also terrific at earning first downs when needed. I like the Chiefs to win, but I also think Mahomes makes some plays with his feet.
7. Number Of Players To Throw a Pass (Over 2.5: +170 | Under 2.5: -220)
The Chiefs and 49ers likely won’t do any trick plays with a wide receiver or running back throwing the football. You’d bank on a quarterback getting hurt, so the backup gets in.
6. Any Interception To Be Returned For A Touchdown (Yes: +550 | No: -1000)
I don’t think +550 is so bad.
Neither quarterback has thrown a ton of interceptions this year. But I like the Chiefs to bait Purdy into throwing an interception or two. Therefore, Kansas City may score a touchdown off an interception.
5. Total Players to Record Rushing Attempt (Over 8.5: -110 | Under 8.5: -110)
The Chiefs will likely have Patrick Mahomes, Isiah Pacheco, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire run the football. I am not sure Mecole Hardman will get another chance to run.
On the other hand, the 49ers will rush Chrisitan McCaffrey, Brock Purdy, Elijah Mitchell, and Deebo Samuel.
That’s seven. I’d take the Under.
4. Team With Most 1st Downs (Chiefs: -110 | 49ers: -120)
The 49ers have earned more than 22 first downs per game this season. The Chiefs have added about 21 first downs per game.
Both are terrific at getting down the field, and neither team is super explosive. However, it’s probably more likely that the 49ers add more explosive plays than the Chiefs. Therefore, the Chiefs might end up getting more first downs.
3. Shortest Touchdown Scored (Over 1.5 Yards: +120 | Under 1.5 Yards: -150)
The NFL is a game of inches. I’m feeling a one-yard touchdown from one of these teams!
2. Total Number of Turnovers (Over 2.5: +100 | Under 2.5: -130)
Like I’ve said previously, I like Purdy to have a couple of turnovers. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes probably won’t be perfect either.
We could also see a fumble in the run game. I’m going with the Over.
1. Number of Plays In The Opening Drive of The Game (Over 6.5: -130 | Under 6.5: +100)
The 49ers and Chiefs could both score in their opening drives. However, I don’t believe the drive will have a significant play. Neither quarterback even averaged 10 yards a throw this year. Therefore, I’d take the Over 6.5.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday: