Top College Basketball Picks for Tuesday, March 1 (2022)
It’s finally March! Conference tournaments are underway, and meaningful basketball will be on TV’s everywhere throughout the entire month. This is what it’s all about. Tonight, I’ll be betting on a conference tournament game but also some other regular-season games in some of the bigger conferences. Let’s waste no time!
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Bucknell vs. Lafayette: Bucknell +6 (-115)
(7:00 p.m. ET)
Bucknell and Lafayette played overtime in both regular-season games against one another. That’s how close these two teams are, yet Bucknell is +6 due to being on the road.
Bucknell’s offense finished the regular season shooting 36.8 percent from three and 50.5 percent from inside the arc. The Bison can also hit consistently at the foul line, knocking down 76.6 percent of shots. Offensive rebounds will be hard to come by, and turnovers can get a bit high, but overall, Bucknell’s offense should have success against a poor Lafayette defense that is allowing teams to shoot 37.6 percent from deep and 51.5 percent from inside.
Bucknell’s defense isn’t much better. However, the Bison will limit fouls and should be able to limit offensive rebounds as well, with Lafayette earning just 21.7 percent of offensive rebounds on the season. I’ll take Bucknell with the points.
Bet: Bucknell +6 -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Dayton vs Richmond: Dayton +2.5 (-110)
(6:30 p.m. ET)
The Dayton Flyers have proven to be the better defense this season. Despite Dayton having better analytical numbers than Richmond, Dayton is an underdog due to having to play on the road against Richmond.
I’ll bite. Give me Dayton. Dayton is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 54 percent while knocking down 36.9 percent from three and 53.4 percent from inside. On the glass, the Flyers should be able to get their fair share of offensive rebounds, and Richmond has struggled to defend from three-point range this season, giving up 35.3 percent of shots.
On the other hand, Richmond struggles on the offensive glass and is shooting a worse effective field goal percentage of 52.4 percent. More misses from Richmond should be in the cards, and that will only help Dayton steal this win.
Bet: Dayton +2.5 -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook
Florida vs. Vanderbilt: Vanderbilt -102
(8:30 p.m. ET)
I know Florida whipped Vanderbilt a new one last time out, but overall, at home, it’s been hard to beat Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt sticks around against great teams and defeats the lower-tier teams.
On defense, Vanderbilt is flat-out better, allowing just a 48.2 percent effective field goal percentage on the season. The Commodores earn 21.8 percent turnovers and hold three-point shooting to just 30 percent on the season.
Florida, on the other hand, shoots 31.1 percent from deep but shoot at an extremely high rate. The Gators might get some second chances, but overall, Vanderbilt should be able to get plenty of stops against Florida as long as the Gators take a lot of threes.
Bet: Vanderbilt -102 at FanDuel
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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.