Top MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday, November 2nd (2022)

Monday's rainout seemed to benefit the Philadelphia Phillies greatly, as the team shifted Ranger Suarez to the Game 3 start and now has Aaron Nola on regular rest for Game 4. It also helped that Bryce Harper continues to be as locked in as anyone has ever been in postseason history.

Will Houston hand the Phillies their first home playoff loss and even the series at two games apiece, or will Philadelphia move one step closer to its third World Series title in franchise history?

• MLB World Series Player Prop Bets Picks & Predictions
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Here are our best bets for Wednesday’s MLB World Series action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies O/U

Cristian Javier is making his first-ever start against the Phillies and first career World Series start. After a relief appearance in Game 1 of the ALDS, Javier threw a gem in his only start this postseason in Game 3 of the ALCS (one hit allowed in 5 1/3 scoreless innings).

On the other side, Philadelphia has Aaron Nola going. Nola struggled mightily in Game 1, as Houston tagged him for five runs in 4 1/3 innings. That makes it back-to-back poor consecutive starts for Nola, as he allowed six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in Game 2 of the NLCS (the only game the Phillies lost that series) against the Padres. However, before that, he had been lights out, with 12 2/3 innings over his first two postseason starts. 

Philadelphia has Houston in its worse batting split for this game, as the Astros ranked second against southpaws with a 124 wRC+ but ninth against righties at 107.

Houston did not even manage as much as one extra-base hit and only had three runners in scoring position in Game 3. The ordinarily patient Astros lineup had a curious approach against Suarez, as the southpaw managed to escape the first inning with just nine pitches. Though Philadelphia used four relievers yesterday, it still has its best bullpen arms (Jose Alvarado and Seranthony Dominguez) rested and ready to nail down the final innings.

The Over is once again sure to be a popular play, especially since Philadelphia has averaged seven runs per game at home this postseason. And of all teams that played more than one series, the Phillies own the best batting average and on-base percentage. However, while its 22 home runs are the most of any playoff team, Javier did a tremendous job of keeping the ball in the yard this season. He allowed one home run per nine innings, and that rate has dropped dramatically in each of his first three years in the big leagues.

The one benefit of yesterday’s blowout is that Houston did not have to use Rafael Montero and Ryan Pressly, the only two pitchers on either team to pitch in Games 1 and 2. With Houston’s bullpen equally rested, the best bet for this game is the Under, as scoring should come to a halt late.

Bet: Astros-Phillies Under 7.5 runs (-120 at DraftKings) 

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.