Top MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (4/14)
We’ve got a loaded slate in the MLB tonight, including 15 games on the board.
That said, there are a couple of spots I’m ready to hammer today. Join me below if you agree with the analysis!
Tuesday’s Best MLB Bets
Odds courtesy of FanDuel | All wagers are for 1 unit
Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays
This is a big breakout spot for the Toronto Blue Jays. While the Blue Jays won yesterday, 5-3, the offense has still only added nine runs in two games against Colorado’s mediocre pitching staff.
But that’ll likely change today.
The Blue Jays will face Kyle Freeland of the Rockies. Freeland is a left-handed thrower who has allowed a .277 ISO and a wOBA of .518 to righties this season.
Fortunately for the Blue Jays, the projected lineup has eight righties in the lineup. Guys like George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero haven’t fared well against lefties since last season. However, those guys and most of the lineup rarely strike out.
You can expect the Blue Jays to put nice, solid, hard contact into play against Freeland. Freeland has only struck out 11.1% of righties and has allowed 47.6% of hard contact. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays lineup has struck out just 16.4% of the time against lefties since last season.
With Justin Turner in the lineup and Davis Schneider being a killer against left-handed pitching, the Blue Jays are in a great spot.
Meanwhile, Toronto will pitch Jose Berrios, who has held batters to a .136 ISO and wOBA of .299, with 50% of ground balls and just 15.4% of fly balls allowed. The Colorado offense has hit a .324 wOBA and struck out 26.6% of the time against righties since last season.
Let’s take the Blue Jays at -1.5.
Bet: Blue Jays -1.5 (-118)
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St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
The St. Louis Cardinals will use Miles Mikolas today. To start the season, Mikolas has allowed a .164 ISO and a wOBA of .350. He’s also earned just 16.4% of strikeouts while giving up 46.4% of hard contact.
Mikolas rarely fools hitters. Today, he’ll take on an Arizona lineup with six batters who have hit an ISO of at least .165 and a wOBA of at least .332 against righties since last season.
On the other hand, the Diamondbacks will pitch Zac Gallen, who has already fared much better, Gallen has allowed a .067 ISO and woBA of .275 with 48.8% of grounders and just 12.2% of fly balls allowed. While the Cardinals’ lineup has similar stats to Arizona’s dating back to last year, you can trust Gallen way more in this game than Mikolas.
Gallen should earn more whiffs, more strikeouts, limit walks, extra-base hits, and many more stats than Mikolas.
Let’s back the Diamondbacks at -148.
Bet: Diamondbacks (-148)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Sunday: