Top NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (11/8)
After a full day of no basketball, we’ve got plenty of action on the slate tonight!
The NBA took off an entire day due to Election Day. But we won’t have a day in November again without the NBA moving forward.
With that said, I’ve added two best bets that I’ll be firing on with tonight’s slate. Follow along below!
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Bets
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook | All wagers are for 1 unit
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks
The Spurs will take on the Knicks in the first game of an ESPN doubleheader.
It’ll be Victor Wembanyama’s debut at the Mecca. That’s real hype. However, the Spurs have been horrendous defending lately.
San Antonio allowed 152 points to Indiana on Monday. They also gave up 123 points in overtime to the Raptors in the previous game. Even before that, despite earning a win, the Spurs allowed the Suns to score 121 in a 132-121 win.
The Knicks have struggled to score consistently. They’ve only shot a 47.7% effective field goal percentage while scoring 107 points per 100 possessions. However, the Spurs have allowed 119.8 points per 100 possessions while giving up a 59.7% effective field goal percentage.
Something’s got to give. I like the Knicks to have more success offensively, at home, against a Spurs defense that is in the bottom two in both points per 100 possessions and effective field goal percentage.
Beyond that, the Knicks are second in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage, hauling in 33.7% of offensive rebounds this season. They’ll still be active on the glass against the Spurs in this one.
On the other hand, the Knicks have held teams to 105.2 points per 100 possessions. That’s third-best in the NBA. New York has also allowed just 19.6% of offensive rebounds, which is the best rate in the league. San Antonio isn’t grabbing many offensive rebounds and is scoring an average of 111.2 points per 100 possessions. That’s strictly the average in the NBA, sitting at 15th.
As long as the Knicks can make shots at a better pace, I like them to cover the 9.5-point spread at home.
Bet: Knicks -9.5 (-110)
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets will be without Jamal Murray, potentially, for an extended period. But that didn’t stop the Nuggets from succeeding in their last game after defeating the Pelicans 134-116 last time out.
Reggie Jackson subbed, while Julian Strawther added 21 minutes off the bench. Those two combined for 28 points, with six threes.
The Nuggets have scored 119.9 points per 100 possessions, with a 58.6% effective field goal percentage. Denver has also been super effective on the glass and will face a Warriors defense, allowing 29.1% of offensive rebounds. While the Nuggets don’t get to the foul line often, Denver should have plenty of success scoring the basketball with quality looks and second chances.
On the other hand, the Warriors are just as good on the offensive glass, averaging 31% of offensive rebounds per game. They’ll keep turnovers down but will have a harder time finding good looks against a Nuggets team that has held teams to 109.7 points per 100 possessions.
Don’t expect either team to get to the foul line consistently. But at home, the Nuggets should get the better looks from the field. Therefore, I’ll back Denver at -3.5.
Bet: Nuggets -3.5 (-110)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
- NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Best Futures Bets (2023)
- NBA First Basket Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (11/8)
- College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Long Shot Bets (2023)
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