Top NFL Player Props: Week 18 (2022)
Let’s admit it: The final week of the NFL regular season is pretty terrible. Most fantasy leagues have locked the doors and turned out the lights. Only about half of the 16 games on the slate have any bearing on the NFL playoff picture, and about half of those games should be cakewalks for the team that needs to win. Thankfully, we have player props to liven things up a bit.
Here are my favorite player props for Week 18.
- Last week’s bets: 3-2
- Season record: 53-39
View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Ryan Tannehill UNDER 216.5 passing yards
Tannehill has failed to hit this number in each of his last five games and in seven of his last eight. This season, the Titans have run the ball on 51% of their offensive snaps, making them the second run-heaviest team in the league behind only the Eagles. Tennessee’s opponent this week, Houston, has a run-funnel defense: Opponents have thrown against the Texans 53% of the time. (The league average is 58%.) The Titans ran 40 times and threw only 18 times last week in a 34-3 blowout of the Dolphins. Expect them to be similarly ground-based if they open up a lead on the 4-12 Texans - and the Titans have every incentive to pile it on early, as a win clinches the No. 1 seed in the AFC Playoffs.
View all Ryan Tannehill prop bet odds >>
Ben Roethlisberger OVER 231.5 passing yards
Big Ben averages 37.4 pass attempts per game, so passing volume shouldn’t be a concern here. Besides, this is probably going to be Roethlisberger’s final NFL game. We should expect him to go out throwing, particularly with the Ravens’ cornerbacks so ravaged by injuries. Over their last three games, the Ravens have given up 309 passing yards to Matthew Stafford and the Rams, 525 passing yards to Joe Burrow and the Bengals, and 268 passing yards to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. The Steelers don’t have as potent a passing attack as those three teams, but Pittsburgh ranks a respectable 17th in passing yardage. Roethlisberger has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in each of his last three games, but I think he beats this number in his farewell performance.
View all Ben Roethlisberger prop bet odds >>
Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 226.5 passing yards
Tua has failed to clear this number in each of his last three games, averaging 199.7 passing yards over that stretch. This weekend, he’ll be facing a Patriots defense that’s yielding just 192.4 passing yards per game and is holding opponents to a 58.9% completion percentage and 6.4 yards per pass attempt.
View all Tua Tagovailoa prop bet odds >>
D’Onta Foreman OVER 69.5 rushing yards
Foreman has topped this number in three of his last five games, averaging 17.8 carries a game over that stretch. He ran for 109 yards in Week 12, 108 yards in Week 15, and 132 yards in Week 17. Foreman had a season-high 26 carries for the Titans last week, and this week he’ll be facing a Texans defense that’s giving up a league-high 143.4 rushing yards per game.
View all D’Onta Foreman prop bet odds >>
Devin Singletary OVER 71.5 rushing yards
This is a tall number that Singletary has cleared in only 5 of 16 games this season, but he’s beaten it in two of his last three. The Bills have been using Singletary as a workhorse lately. Over the previous four weeks, Singletary has played 80.5% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps. Last week, he had 23 carries against the Falcons and 22 carries against the Panthers in Week 15. This week, he faces a Swiss cheese Jets run defense that’s giving up 136.3 rushing yards per game and has faced a league-high 30.8 carries per game.
View all Devin Singletary prop bet odds >>
Darrel Williams OVER 23.5 receiving yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire remains out with a shoulder injury, so Williams will make a second straight start. In the six games he’s started in place of Edwards-Helaire this season, Williams has topped 23.5 receiving yards four times, averaging 5.0 targets, 4.5 catches and 40.8 receiving yards in those games. Williams played 80% of the Chiefs’ offensive snaps last week, and the Chiefs want to win this game to keep the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoffs.
View all Darrel Williams prop bet odds >>
Cooper Kupp OVER 116.5 receiving yards
Ah, yes, the weekly over bet on Kupp’s receiving yardage. He finally missed last week, finishing with 95 receiving yards against the Ravens and failing to top 100 yards for the first time since Week 12. But, hey, I’m going to dust myself off and get right back on the horse I’ve been riding for most of the season. Kupp needs 136 receiving yards to break the single-season receiving record of 1,964 yards set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. When Kupp last faced the 49ers in Week 10, he caught 11 of 13 targets for 122 yards. It’s not even clear who’ll be trying to cover Kupp this time around, but whoever it is, it’s destined to be a mismatch. The 49ers’ top slot corner, K’Waun Williams, is on the COVID-19 list, as is Williams’ backup, Deommodore Lenoir.
View all Cooper Kupp prop bet odds >>
View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
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