Top NFL Week 12 Player Prop Bets: Picks & Predictions (2024)
The NFL has 11 games on tap for Sunday’s Week 12 slate, concluding with a matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams on Sunday Night Football. The playoff push is heating up, and following Cleveland’s win in the snow over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday Night Football, it’s evident that any team can win on any given Sunday. With six divisional matchups set to kick off on Sunday, there could be many entertaining one-possession games between rivals this afternoon.
My Top NFL Week 11 Player Prop Bets went 3-0, bouncing back from a 1-2 outing in Week 10. Jared Goff shredded Jacksonville’s defense with four passing touchdowns, soaring over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -120 odds, while my other quarterback prop hit without a sweat, as Browns QB Jameis Winston threw for 395 yards to go over 239.5 passing yards in a loss to the New Orleans Saints. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor recorded 24 carries during Indianapolis’ 28-27 road win against the Jets, finishing with over 17.5 rush attempts to round out our Week 11 sweep.
I’ve got three NFL player props to bet ahead of Sunday's Week 12 slate. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more NFL free bets and weekly analysis.
NFL Week 12 Player Props
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
DeAndre Hopkins O 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Kansas City will have its foot on the proverbial gas pedal early following their first loss of the season to Buffalo in Week 11. The Chiefs draw an extremely favorable matchup on the road against the Carolina Panthers, who are allowing the second-highest net passing yards per attempt (7.1) in 2024.
Chiefs WR DeAndre Hopkins is going to be a big beneficiary after going 3-29 on four targets in Week 11 against a stingy Bills secondary. Hopkins has gone over 42.5 receiving yards in two of four games with Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback following a trade from Tennessee, including 8-86-2 against Tampa Bay, which is a similar comparison to Carolina’s struggling secondary.
Let’s stake a unit on Hopkins to be targeted early and often to wind up cashing over 42.5 receiving yards against the Panthers on Sunday.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. O 14.5 Rush Attempts (-128)
The New York Giants took their bye week to release QB Daniel Jones in an attempt to find their identity and get back into the win column. QB Tommy DeVito returns under center for the Giants in Week 12 against Tampa Bay at MetLife Stadium, where he had some success against opponents in 2023.
Despite the quarterback shake-up, expect Giants head coach Brian Daboll to keep feeding rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. carries in a plus-matchup against a porous Buccaneers run defense. Tampa Bay is allowing 4.8 YPC, fourth-highest in the league, and Tracy has recorded 16-20 carries in five of his last six games played.
DeVito’s presence under center should have a minimal impact on Tracy’s usage, so let’s stake another unit on the Giants’ rookie running back to finish with over 14.5 carries against Tampa Bay on Sunday afternoon.
Javonte Williams O 37.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Denver’s backfield has been a bit of a rotating carousel in 2024 but RB Javonte Williams remains their RB1 heading into a divisional road game against Las Vegas. Williams has recorded double-digit carries in seven of 11 games played for the Broncos this season, finishing with 38 or more rushing yards in six matchups.
Williams went for 13-61 against Las Vegas the first time these two AFC West opponents met in early October and should wind up with enough carries against the Raiders to replicate that feat. He just went for 59 rushing yards and a touchdown on nine carries against Atlanta in Week 11.
In five of six games with double-digit carries, Williams has managed to get over 37.5 rushing yards, so let’s back Denver’s current RB1 to hit this line again at Allegiant Stadium during Sunday’s late afternoon slate.
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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.