Top NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets: Picks & Predictions (2024)
With only five weeks left in the 2024-25 NFL regular season, every game becomes bigger down the stretch. Week 14 kicked off with Detroit and Green Bay in an entertaining back-and-forth shootout on Thursday Night Football, with the Lions clinching a playoff spot following a walk-off field goal from Jake Bates.
Sundayâs Week 14 slate will be slightly more condensed due to six teams being on bye. This is the final bye week before every team is back in action down the final four-game stretch. Denver, Indianapolis, New England, Washington, Baltimore, and Houston are inactive, but there are still some solid matchups on the board.
Last week, my NFL Week 13 Player Prop Bets fell flat, finishing 0-3. Letâs bounce back with a profitable outing on Sunday. Iâve got three NFL player props to bet on during Sunday's Week 14 slate. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more NFL free bets and weekly analysis.
NFL Week 14 Player Props
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Najee Harris O 15.5 Rush Attempts (-128)
Pittsburghâs rushing attack should prosper against Clevelandâs run defense on Sunday. Itâs the second meeting between these AFC North rivals in three weeks, with Jameis Winston leading the Browns to a thrilling win over the Steelers in a blizzard on Thursday Night Football.
Steelers RB Najee Harris has his total rush attempts line set to 15.5. Harris has gone over this number in six consecutive games, even with RB Jaylen Warren back in the mix. Last week, Warren was held primarily to a receiving role against the porous Bengals run defense. Even with Warren recording 11 carries against the Browns in Week 12, Harris still wound up with 16 carries for 41 rushing yards.
Cleveland has surrendered 106 or more rushing yards in four of its past five games, which includes to Denverâs previously struggling rushing attack. Letâs stake a unit on Harris to continue handling the majority of carries in a plus-matchup at home against the Browns on Sunday, finishing with over 15.5 rush attempts.
Baker Mayfield O 245.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers escaped Carolina with a win in overtime last Sunday. Now, the Buccaneers are positioned to take a decisive lead in the NFC South, despite losing both games to Atlanta outright.
Tampa Bay hosts Las Vegas on Sunday and will likely keep Mayfield busy with pass attempts. The Raiders have held four of their last five opponents under 85 total rushing yards, while giving up 246 or more passing yards in four of these five contests.
Mayfield has only gone over 245.5 passing yards once in his last four games. However, based on the matchup and the urgency to win on Sunday, I expect Tampa Bayâs QB1 will be ready to deal all over the field.
Kyren Williams O 65.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Los Angeles Rams host the red-hot Buffalo Bills during Sundayâs late afternoon window. The Rams are right in the mix to win a crowded NFC West division and should feed RB1 Kyren Williams at least 15-18 carries in a plus-matchup against Buffaloâs run defense.
The Bills have allowed three of their past four opponents to finish with 121 or more rushing yards, while playing six consecutive games holding opposing quarterbacks under 250 passing yards. Williams is a workhorse in head coach Sean McVayâs backfield and has gone over 65.5 rushing yards in nine of the Ramsâ last 10 games played.
Letâs stake one final unit on Williams to go over 65.5 rushing yards against the Bills at SoFi Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.