Top NFL Week 15 Player Prop Bets: Picks & Predictions (2024)
Bye weeks are in the rearview mirror, which means it’s go-time in the NFL. The playoff hunt is in full swing and each week becomes even more high-stakes as Week 18 approaches. Any team can win on any given Sunday in the NFL, we’ve seen that narrative hold up throughout 2024. Fortunately, we’re only targeting player props and not backing any sides or totals.
Last week, my NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets went 3-0, sweeping the board after going 0-3 in Week 13. Let’s keep the momentum rolling into Sunday’s Week 15 NFL slate with three more NFL player props. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more NFL free bets and weekly analysis.
NFL Week 15 Player Props
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Jayden Daniels O 7.5 Rush Attempts (-118)
Washington had a Week 14 bye but the Commanders need to continue stacking wins to keep their NFC playoff hopes alive. A road trip to the Caesars Superdome against a porous New Orleans run defense is a great matchup to exploit for Washington’s rushing attack.
Rookie QB Jayden Daniels remains the favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year and we’ve seen the No. 2 overall draft pick use his legs frequently in OC Kliff Kingsbury’s offense this season. Daniels has recorded eight or more rush attempts in eight of 13 games played this season, including in Week 13, when he finished with nine carries for 34 yards and a touchdown in a 42-19 win against Tennessee.
Daniels has dealt with some minor injuries in the middle of the season, which may have kept the Commanders from scheming designed runs for their QB1. However, against a Saints run defense allowing 5.0 YPC, most in the league alongside Carolina, let’s bet a unit on Daniels to finish Week 15 with over 7.5 rush attempts.
Rico Dowdle O 81.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Dallas nearly beat Cincinnati in Week 14 due to head coach Mike McCarthy leaning into the Cowboys’ rushing attack. RB Rico Dowdle has been on fire lately, recording 86 or more rushing yards in three consecutive games, including 131 rushing yards against the Bengals.
Carolina is the perfect matchup for Dallas to keep feeding Dowdle carries. The Panthers have allowed over 160 rushing yards to five straight opponents, including over 200 to Tampa Bay and Philadelphia. Dowdle is set up for a monster day on the ground for Dallas, so at 81.5, let’s stake another unit on the Cowboys’ RB1 to sail over this number for the fourth consecutive game.
Tua Tagovailoa O 24.5 Pass Completions (-120)
Tua Tagovailoa has been on a tear since returning from injury, keeping Miami’s playoff hopes intact at 6-7. The Dolphins are a pass-centric team, relying on quick screens and dump offs in the flat to function as their version of a run game.
Tagovailoa heads to Houston in Week 15 to face a struggling Texans pass defense. The Texans have surrendered over 275 total passing yards in two of their past three games against Dallas and Jacksonville. Tagovailoa has recorded over 24.5 pass completions in six of seven games since coming back against Arizona on October 27th and he’ll continue to be an aggressive passer in a plus-matchup that Miami needs to win.
Let’s stake one final unit on Tagovailoa to go over 24.5 pass completions on the road against Houston in Week 15.
BettingPros Podcast
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn
Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.