Top NFL Week 7 Player Prop Bets: Picks & Predictions (2024)
The NFL Week 7 slate is shaping up to be one of the best this season, featuring several highly anticipated matchups, including a Super Bowl 58 rematch between Kansas City vs. San Francisco during Sunday’s late afternoon window.
The undefeated Minnesota Vikings host the 5-1 Detroit Lions for an NFC North divisional showdown, while C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans head to Lambeau Field to take on Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers. Seattle will try to end their losing streak on the road against Kirk Cousins and the red-hot Atlanta Falcons.
At the same time, Saquon Barkley returns to MetLife Stadium to face his former team in an NFC East tilt between the Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants. Monday night’s doubleheader includes two of the league’s top offenses during the first game when Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host reigning MVP Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens.
I've got three NFL player props to wager during Sunday's Week 7 slate. Our NFL Week 6 player props went 2-1, so let’s continue to gain profit and build our bankroll during Week 7. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly analysis.
NFL Week 7 Player Props
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Justin Jefferson O 91.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Justin Jefferson is coming off of a bye week and when he was last on the field against the New York Jets, one of the league’s top pass defenses, he saw a season-high 14 targets form Vikings QB Sam Darnold. Jefferson turned these targets into six receptions for 92 yards, which is the exact mark we need Minnesota’s star wideout to hit against the Lions in Week 7.
Detroit is allowing only 5.7 net yards per pass attempt with four total receiving touchdowns this season, however, they’ve been surrendering chunk plays through the air. Geno Smith carved the Lions up for 395 yards in Week 4, so despite Detroit shutting down Dak Prescott in Week 6, Jefferson should have ample opportunity to go over 91.5 receiving yards at home on Sunday.
Jefferson has recorded 92 or more receiving yards in two of five games this season, with two other outings totaling 81 and 85 receiving yards. We’re going to see Darnold force-feed Jefferson in Kevin O’Connell’s system, which allows the star wideout to get plenty of separation. Now that Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson is no longer disrupting off the edge, the Vikings hold an advantage with a bit of extra time in the pocket to find Jefferson, especially behind one of the league’s more underrated offensive line units.
Chase Brown O 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
Cincinnati has seemingly passed the torch from RB Zack Moss to second-year RB Chase Brown. Moss’ untimely fumble allowed Brown to step into the RB1 role, winding up with a walk-off touchdown up the middle of the Giants’ defense in prime time to get the Bengals a much-needed win.
Cleveland is allowing 4.7 YPC, which is sixth-most in the league. Brown has tallied 15-12-10 carries in each of his last three games, so in a matchup against another porous run defense like Cleveland’s, plus the Bengals’ increased usage and confidence in Brown over Moss, hitting over 11.5 total rushing attempts in Week 7 is a realistic outcome.
Oddsmakers agree, pricing this line at -130 odds, so let’s jump on Brown’s total carries prop before this number moves any higher.
Matthew Stafford O 230.5 Passing Yards (-113)
The Los Angeles Rams could be getting one of their best offensive players back on the field in Week 7, with star wideout Cooper Kupp ruled questionable with an ankle injury. QB Matthew Stafford has made do without his top two wideouts for the majority of 2024, so even if Kupp doesn’t play, an ideal matchup against Las Vegas’ pass defense offers value on his passing yards prop.
Oddsmakers have set Stafford’s total passing yards to 230.5, which he’s hit twice in 2024, coming 15 yards short or less in the other three contests. The Raiders have allowed 231 or more passing yards to Lamar Jackson and Andy Dalton, so their ability to contain Denver and Pittsburgh’s run-centric offenses against the pass isn’t very impressive.
The Rams allow Stafford to have full control of this offense, and coming off of a bye, with the potential of Kupp on the field, it feels like Stafford will go over 230.5 passing yards for the third time this season at SoFi Stadium in Week 7.
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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.