Top NFL Week 9 Player Prop Bets: Picks & Predictions (2024)
The NFL Week 9 slate is gearing up for another action-packed Sunday. 30 of 32 teams are active, excluding Pittsburgh and San Francisco, meaning we’re getting 13 games to bet on Sunday’s board, offering plenty of betting markets for us to earn profit.
My Week 8 NFL player prop bets wound up 1-2, as Stefon Diggs fell short of going over 5.5 receptions and finished with five, cut short by a season-ending ACL tear. James Conner could only turn 20 carries into 53 rushing yards instead of 71, while Trevor Lawrence did cash an interception for our lone winner against Green Bay.
I've got three new NFL player props to wager during Sunday's Week 9 slate. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more NFL free bets and weekly analysis.
NFL Week 9 Player Props
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Tony Pollard O 16.5 Rush Attempts (-120)
Tennessee’s offense goes through RB Tony Pollard. Pollard was brought in this offseason and has been a bellcow for the Titans during 2024, handling 16 or more carries in six of seven games played. Oddsmakers have set Pollard’s rush attempts line at -120 against New England in Week 9.
Pollard has gone over 16.5 carries in four of seven games, including three of his last four, despite the Titans getting blown out 52-14 against Detroit in Week 8. -120 odds is good value for Pollard to once again hit over 16.5 carries against New England’s run defense, which allows 4.5 YPC and has one of the league’s least explosive offenses, meaning the game script should be strong for Pollard to take us over this number.
Alvin Kamara O 73.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Derek Carr’s return will give a much needed-boost to the New Orleans Saints, who have now lost six straight games after starting 2-0. Carolina is one of the teams that New Orleans has a win against and they’ll look to replicate their Week 1 outing with Carr back in the lineup.
This helps Saints RB Alvin Kamara quite a bit, plus he’ll face the Panthers’ run defense, which is giving up 4.5 YPC and a league-high 14 rushing touchdowns through eight weeks. Even without Carr and most of the Saints’ wide receivers in recent games, Kamara has finished with 10 or more carries in two of three games, including 10-67 against the Chargers in Week 8.
With Carr in the lineup, Kamara went over 73.5 rushing yards in four consecutive games to start the season, so let’s back the Saints’ RB1 to cash over 73.5 rushing yards in a plus-matchup on the road Sunday afternoon.
Bo Nix O 33.5 Pass Attempts (-114)
One of the more intriguing matchups on Sunday features a pair of 5-3 AFC teams, Denver and Baltimore, both coming off of much different outcomes in Week 8. No. 12 overall draft pick, Broncos QB Bo Nix, has improved each week during his rookie campaign, coming off of a confidence-boosting four touchdown performance, which included 28 completions for 284 yards and three touchdowns through the air without a turnover.
Nix draws one of the league’s most porous pass defenses, with the Ravens allowing 7.0 net yards per pass attempt and 17 receiving touchdowns, both bottom-five metrics amongst NFL secondaries. Denver won’t have much success establishing the run against a stout defensive front allowing 3.3 YPC, best in the league, so expect Nix to air it out early and often.
We’re betting Nix to go over 33.5 pass attempts on Sunday at Baltimore, which he’s hit in four of eight games, including last week against Carolina. The Ravens are built to stop the run and Nix will be forced to air it out, so let’s bet on the Broncos’ QB1 to stay active in the pocket to go over 33.5 pass attempts at -114 odds.
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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.