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UFC 300 Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

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With this monumental UFC 300 card, there's no shortage of ways to get some skin in the game. I'm heading the props route on Saturday night, where I've narrowed in on these three prop bets throughout the card. 

UFC 300 Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Justin Gaethje (-162) vs. Max Holloway (+136)

The “BMF” belt is on the line Saturday night as Justin Gaethje takes on Max Holloway in a five-round Lightweight bout, coming just prior to the co-main event. Gaethje's a sizable -162 moneyline favorite to secure the victory, while Holloway comes back at +136 to get his hand raised. 

I think we're in for a 25-minute war between these two brawlers, so I'm locking in the fight to go the distance. Holloway has the silkiest hands in the promotion, but he’s much more finesse than power with his boxing. He only has one knockout in his last nine fights, with the other eight all being five-round decisions. Holloway has also yet to be knocked out over his 32-fight career, which bodes well for this bet, considering Gaethje's a knockout artist with 20 of his 25 professional wins coming via the KO. I don't expect Gaethje to get knocked out, and I think Holloway's boxing prowess and mobility will keep him from exiting this fight early. 

Bet: Fight To Go The Distance - Yes (-110)

Jiri Prochazka (-105) vs. Aleksander Rakic (-115)

The prelims wrap up with an absolute banger in the Light Heavyweight division as Jiri Prochazka (#2) squares off against Aleksander Rakic (#5). The oddsmakers suggest flipping a coin with this bout, where the Czechian brawler's -105 on the moneyline, while Rakic comes in at -115 to get back in the win column. 

Rakic has seen his last four fights enter the third round, with three of those tilts going the distance. Overall, six of his eight UFC fights have entered the third round, with five of them going to the judges' scorecards. Since this is such an important fight, with a potential title shot on the horizon for the winner, I think we'll see a bit of a feeling-out process early on. Both men clearly possess knockout power, but Rakic is somewhat elusive, avoiding 53% of opposing strike attempts. With almost an even-money payout and Rakic's history of longer bouts, I'll take this one to enter the third round. 

Bet: Fight To Start Round 3 - Yes (-105)

Deiveson Figueiredo (-310) vs. Cody Garbrandt (+250)

Just how stacked is the UFC 300 card? How about we start the action with a pair of former champions? Dana White's wasting no time, providing us with an electric fight right out of the gate as Deiveson Figueiredo (-310) takes on Cody Garbrandt (+250) in a Bantamweight tilt. 

I think we'll see some fireworks to start the card, and I'm locking in this Figueiredo/Garbrandt bout to end via knockout at +110 odds. To be clear, either fighter can win by knockout (or TKO/DQ), and we'll win our bet. Garbrandt's an impressive 14-5-0 in his professional career, but four of those five defeats have come by KO. Meanwhile, Figueiredo packs a punch for a former Flyweight, where he's amassed nine knockouts over 22 pro victories. Meanwhile, before beating Rob Font (U-DEC) in his Bantamweight debut, Figueiredo was knocked out by Brandon Moreno in the fourth and final installment of their epic saga. I think UFC 300 starts with a bang, so I like taking a shot with this +110 prop. 

Bet: Exact Method of Victory - KO/TKO/DQ (+110)

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