The UFC is traveling to Australia this week for two title fights, and one is a rematch. The card will feature a lot of Australian and Asian prospects due to the proximity, but not the main event.
South African Dricus Du Plessis will defend his middleweight title against Sean Strickland, who he took the belt from in 2024. Zhang Weili will also defend her belt against the undefeated Tatiana Suarez.
The fights should be entertaining and the crowd will be electric in Sydney. The early prelims begin at 6:00 p.m. EST and the main card will start at 10:00 p.m. on pay-per-view (PPV).
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UFC 312 Longshot Prop Bets (2025)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Wang Cong (-470) vs. Bruna Brasil (+360)
Wang Cong is powerful in the women's flyweight division, but Bruna Brasil is a technical fighter with high intelligence in the octagon. Brasil is training with the Fighting Nerds, who have been taking over the UFC recently. They come in with strong game plans, which Brasil needs to win this fight.
Wang is 6-1 as a professional and suffered her first defeat last time out against Gabriella Fernandes. She was a -950 favorite and was upset by Fernandes, who submitted her via a rear naked choke.
Brasil is not known for her submissions, but it is her best path to victory in this fight. She is a technical kickboxer but will be putting herself in danger by standing with Wang. Brasil will need to stand with Wang so her takedowns do not become predictable, but she is skilled at mixing in takedowns. She averages 1.93 takedowns landed per 15 minutes and lands with 72% accuracy.
Brasil will need a well-timed takedown against Wang, who has defended every takedown in the UFC. Scrambling will also be key to gain an advantageous position on Wang. I am taking Brasil to win via submission in an upsetting fashion.
Bet: Bruna Brasil to Win by Submission (+1300)
Jack Jenkins (+190) vs. Gabriel Santos (-230)
Jack Jenkins has a tough test against Gabriel Santos but will have the crowd in his favor in Sydney. Jenkins has knockout power in the featherweight division and has great calf kicks. Those kicks should pay dividends if he starts to rack them up early.
Santos has a clear advantage on the mat, but it will be difficult to find takedowns if his legs are hurt. He averages 3.44 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, but Jenkins has defended 76% of takedowns in the UFC.
Santos is an aggressive striker, and the stats back it up. He lands 4.69 significant strikes and absorbs 4.77 significant strikes per minute. He is always moving forward on his feet, which could be a problem against Jenkins.
Wild exchanges will benefit Jenkins in this matchup, especially with the extra adrenaline from the crowd. He needs to let his hands go and trust his takedown defense. Jenkins is a solid fighter and the odds should probably be closer than they are. I like Jenkins via knockout, but he must stay off his back against the slick grappler.
Bet: Jack Jenkins to Win by Knockout (+700)
