UFC Fight Night: Best Longshot Odds, Picks & Predictions (Vegas 76)

UFC Vegas 76 gets underway this Saturday at the UFC Apex facility. While this card is certainly not the most loaded of affairs, there are still a couple of great betting angles to attack.

Below, I will walk through my best longshot prop bet to make for this event. This play is 0.43 units, or 0.43% of your betting bankroll.

Follow me on Twitter to get all my plays on days without full write-ups.

• UFC Fight Night: Best Bets | Parlays
• More UFC Betting Advice
• UFC Best Betting Odds
• UFC Betting Strategy

UFC Vegas 76: Best Longshot Bet

Here is out top longshot bet for UFC Vegas 76.

Ariane Lipski vs. Melissa Gatto

On the main card, we have a flyweight bout between Ariane Lipski and Melissa Gatto. Priced as a -240 favorite, Gatto looks to get back on track after her loss to Tracy Cortez in May.

Despite that loss against the current No .14-ranked contender in the flyweight division, Gatto has looked incredible since joining the UFC. She broke Victoria Leonardo’s arm in her debut at UFC 265, which she followed up with a nasty body kick to Sijara Eubanks to secure back-to-back finishes.

A purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, it is not shocking that Gatto’s submission prop offers a lesser return than her knockout prop. With that said, her striking has looked clean over her three UFC bouts, and should be a good avenue to victory once again in this scrap.

Lipski’s chin is arguably her biggest weakness, considering that she has lost each of her last three bouts via TKO. Those three losses came against Priscila Cachoeira, Montana De La Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko – and two of those fighters are likely not on Gatto’s level (De La Rosa has faced a ridiculously tough stretch of fighters, but I digress).

While Lipski prefers to stand-and-bang, that will likely be her downfall in this fight. She is a below-average striker both offensively and defensively, and with a suspect chin and 73% takedown defense, it is worth taking a shot on Gatto to dispose of her via KO/TKO.

The Pick: Melissa Gatto via KO/TKO/DQ (+510 at BetRivers)

Best of luck!

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.