UFC Fight Night Odds & Picks: Kevin Lee vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov (Vegas 76)
The UFC is back in the small octagon of the UFC Apex this weekend. Sean Strickland is putting his number seven ranking on the line against unranked Abus Magomedov in the main event. Damir Ismagulov and Grant Dawson will face off in a top-15 lightweight matchup for the co-main event. The prelims begin at 4 p.m. EDT, and the main card starts at 7 p.m. EDT on ESPN. Here are our top picks for Kevin Lee vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov.
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UFC Vegas 76 Odds & Picks: Kevin Lee vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
Kevin Lee vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
Kevin Lee
- Dist Acc Off: 38.12%
- Dist Att/Min: 16.13
- Dist Def: 49%
- KD%: .9% (1 KD out of 106 distance strikes)
- Control % Off: 28.6%
- Control % Def: 3.3%
Rinat Fakhretdinov
- Dist Acc Off: 58.1%
- Dist Att/Min: 14.35
- Dist Def: 69%
- KD%: 5.5% (1 KD out of 18 distance strikes)
- Control % Off: 90.6%
- Control % Def: 2.1%
You are looking at that correctly. Rinat Fakhretdinov has a Control % Offense of 90%. He has fought at a distance for a grand total of two minutes and 10 seconds in two fights, both that went the distance. Rinat’s striking numbers can be overlooked simply because of the small sample size, but the control numbers are valid. Kevin Lee returns to the UFC, and they immediately give him to the wolves. Lee was able to stop Gergor Gillespie, who had a ton of hype behind him, but I don’t see that happening here.
Bet: Rinat Fakhretdinov (-200)
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Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.