Updated College Football Bowl Game Projections & Predictions (2023)
It’s never too early to talk about college football bowl games. And this season, I’ve developed a system to take a practical look ahead each and every week. I’ve reviewed the requirements and stipulations for every single bowl game, and I’m leveraging my projections, power rankings, and adjusted totals for all 133 FBS schools to come up with comprehensive college football bowl game projections. See below for my updated projections ahead of Week 13.
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College Football Bowl Game Projections: Week 13
| Game | Favorite | Underdog | Spread | Location | Date |
| Bowl | Favorite | Underdog | Spread | Location | Date |
| Bahamas Bowl | Marshall | Colorado St. | -2.0 | Nassua, Bahamas | 12/16 |
| New Orleans Bowl | Troy | New Mexico St. | -9.9 | New Orleans, LA | 12/16 |
| Cure Bowl | Appalachian St. | Navy | -10.2 | Orlando, FL | 12/16 |
| New Mexico Bowl | Boise St. | Western Kentucky | -8.8 | Albuquerque, NM | 12/16 |
| Jimmy Kimmel L.A. Bowl | James Madison | UNLV | -4.9 | Inglewood, CA | 12/16 |
| Independence Bowl | USC | Iowa St. | -6.3 | Shreveport, LA | 12/16 |
| Myrtle Beach Bowl | Coastal Carolina | Eastern Michigan | -8.0 | Conway, SC | 12/18 |
| Frisco Bowl | Louisiana | Utah St. | -5.5 | Frisco, TX | 12/19 |
| Boca Raton Bowl | San Jose St. | Arkansas St. | -5.3 | Boca Raton, FL | 12/21 |
| Gasparilla Bowl | Georgia Southern | Jacksonville St. | -0.3 | Tampa, FL | 12/22 |
| Camellia Bowl | South Alabama | Bowling Green | -12.7 | Montgomery, AL | 12/23 |
| Birmingham Bowl | UTSA | Syracuse | -8.9 | Birmingham, AL | 12/23 |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Fresno St. | Miami (OH) | -3.4 | Boise, ID | 12/23 |
| Armed Forces Bowl | Texas Tech | Liberty | -6.2 | Fort Worth, TX | 12/23 |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | Ohio | Georgia St. | -4.7 | Mobile, AL | 12/23 |
| Las Vegas Bowl | UCLA | Illinois | -10.5 | Las Vegas, NV | 12/23 |
| Hawai’i Bowl | Air Force | South Florida | -13.1 | Honolulu, HI | 12/23 |
| Quick Lane Bowl | Toledo | Minnesota | -0.7 | Detroit, MI | 12/26 |
| First Responder Bowl | UCF | Texas St. | -15.8 | Dallas, TX | 12/26 |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | Kansas | Northwestern | -9.0 | Phoenix, AZ | 12/26 |
| Military Bowl | SMU | Virginia Tech | -7.7 | Annapolis, MD | 12/27 |
| Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Auburn | Georgia Tech | -9.0 | Charlotte, NC | 12/27 |
| Holiday Bowl | Clemson | Oregon St. | -1.8 | San Diego, CA | 12/27 |
| Texas Bowl | LSU | Oklahoma St. | -13.9 | Houston, TX | 12/27 |
| Fenway Bowl | Memphis | Boston College | -4.2 | Boston, MA | 12/28 |
| Pinstripe Bowl | North Carolina St. | Rutgers | -6.1 | Bronx, NY | 12/28 |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | Notre Dame | Kansas St. | -4.3 | Orlando, FL | 12/28 |
| Alamo Bowl | Oklahoma | Arizona | -4.9 | San Antonio, TX | 12/28 |
| Gator Bowl | Miami (FL) | Kentucky | -0.8 | Jacksonville, FL | 12/29 |
| Sun Bowl | Utah | Duke | -7.8 | El Paso, TX | 12/29 |
| Liberty Bowl | Texas A&M | West Virginia | -10.6 | Memphis, TN | 12/29 |
| Cotton Bowl | Penn St. | Missouri | -7.0 | Arlington, TX | 12/29 |
| Peach Bowl | Louisville | Tulane | -5.0 | Atlanta, GA | 12/30 |
| Music City Bowl | Tennessee | Maryland | -5.9 | Nashville, TN | 12/30 |
| Orange Bowl | Alabama | Florida St. | -7.4 | Miami, FL | 12/30 |
| Arizona Bowl | Wyoming | Northern Illinois | -4.1 | Tucson, AZ | 12/30 |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | North Carolina | Wisconsin | -2.5 | Tampa, FL | 01/01 |
| Fiesta Bowl | Ohio St. | Oregon | -2.0 | Glendale, AZ | 01/01 |
| Citrus Bowl | Ole Miss | Iowa | -8.7 | Orlando, FL | 01/01 |
| Rose Bowl (CFP Semi) | Michigan | Washington | -9.6 | Pasadena, CA | 01/01 |
| Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi) | Georgia | Texas | -8.0 | New Orleans, LA | 01/01 |
| CFP Championship | Georgia | Michigan | -0.5 | Houston, TX | 01/08 |
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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