Here are two of our favorite prop bets for Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics.
Al Horford OVER 1.5 3PTM | -115 at Caesars
I will take this line any day of the week for a guy that had six three-pointers in Game 1. He is critical for Boston to stretch the floor. He had 6+ attempts from deep in his last three games and averaged 5.5 attempts against Golden State over the previous two seasons. Draymond was speaking ironically for Al, Smart, and White going for 15/23 from 3 as he and the Warriors don’t believe this will happen again. So I don’t expect huge adjustments in that regard from Kerr. With Brown and Tatum getting most of the attention, and after JT showed maturity to pass the basketball while having a bad shooting night, I think Horford will get enough attempts. And, as in Game 1, most of them will probably be wide open, and for a guy shooting 46% from 3 in the postseason – this should be enough.
Jordan Poole UNDER 19.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists | -125 at FanDuel
That’s the adjustment I can see the Warriors doing. While Poole had an amazing start to his first career playoff run, he cooled off, and productivity worsened with every series and game. His points per game are down to less than 15 in the last 10 games, and he is a significant liability on the defensive end. He was game-worst -19 in Game 1 and played only 25 minutes, compared to his 30mpg for the season. I think this number will decrease even more, and he will see around 20 tonight. My only concern is that he often plays with the second unit in case of a blowout, but it’s the Finals. Even if the game isn’t that close, the closing line-ups should see almost all the minutes in the fourth quarter. I didn’t even mention that Boston’s defense is at the top in nearly every category, including in points & assists allowed and FG% and 3PT% allowed. They are also third in SG defense and eighth in free throws allowed, and as we know, Poole is the best FT shooter in the league.
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