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Wednesday’s Best College Football, NFL & MLB Bets (9/20)

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No matter your sport of choice, there's always sports betting action to be had. We'll have you covered each and every day with our daily best bets. Here are all of our best bets across each major sport in action today.

Today's Best Bets

Here are today's best bets.

College Football Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Auburn @ Texas A&M

Both of these teams are playing their first SEC game of the season. Texas A&M has looked, so far, like they've figured out their offensive woes from 2022. They're averaging 467 yards per game, and Conner Weigman has the second-best QBR in the country. The question is whether this offense can perform like that against a top-20 defense. Solid performances against UL Monroe and New Mexico don't really tell us anything. They got into a track meet against Miami, but the defense faltered, which is far more telling than anything they did on offense.

Auburn, meanwhile, has looked really good on offense, too, against their lower-level competition. A game halfway across the country at Cal saw them stall out offensively thanks to five turnovers by the Tiger offense. SP+ thinks this is a bit of an anomaly, too, as they rank 33rd in offense while Texas A&M ranks 27th. Defensively, Auburn has been dominant. They've allowed just 264 yards per game on the season and will be the most complete defense the Aggies have played all season.

The advanced stats show these teams are closer than the over-one-touchdown line the books have set. Road conference games are tough, but Auburn has already shown they can go on the road and win ugly. This will be the toughest test we've seen for both teams so far. Auburn can move the ball on offense, and Texas A&M has shown some weakness on defense. It's a great opportunity for the Tigers to pull off a big upset conference win.

Bet: Auburn Moneyline (+245)

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NFL Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Cleveland Browns

The Browns' current O/U win total sits at 9.5, where it was prior to the season, except now we're getting plus money on the under instead of the -130 or so that you would have paid in the preseason. What has changed since then? Nick Chubb suffered a season-ending injury on Monday night in a game where Deshaun Watson looked horrible for a second straight week (really, he's looked horrible ever since he was suspended), even though some wanted to blame his Week 1 performance on the poor weather.

It's not like this is the weaker NFC, either. The Browns play in arguably the toughest division in football. If I give them wins against the Colts, Cardinals, Texans and Bears, that only gets them to five wins, with their remaining games likely being coin-flip or decisive underdog games. I don't trust them to win five of those games, and frankly, I think giving them the aforementioned four wins is a little generous.

I was shocked to see that their win total did not move after the offensive performances combined with the loss of their best weapon, and even more shocked to see that you had to pay juice to now bet the over.

Bet: Under 9.5 Wins (+120)

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MLB Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers rookie Bobby Miller has done a fabulous job stabilizing the rotation amid several starters' injuries. Miller has won four of his last seven starts, with those four wins all coming against teams currently occupying playoff spots (Seattle Mariners, Atlanta Braves, Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers). However, we are somewhat nervous that Miller has pitched to a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts against teams under .500.

His opponent, the Tigers, have performed much better offensively of late, ranking in the top 11 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS in road games against right-handed pitching since Aug. 1. Detroit has also posted the seventh-best BABIP in that span.

Tigers righty Reese Olson has made three consecutive quality starts in September while pitching to a 1.37 ERA. But in his four starts before that against teams over .500, Olson pitched to a 6.96 ERA. He still ranks in the bottom fourth of the league in barrels, hard-hit contact and xERA despite his recent hot stretch. 

The Over has cashed in 83 of L.A.'s last 143 games (+24.85 units), and its team total Over is 39-28 in its previous 67 home games (+6.99 units), so we expect the Dodgers to snap Olson's quality start streak tonight.

Bet: Over 8.5 (-110)

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