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Wednesday’s Best NFL, MLB & College Football Bets (9/27)

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No matter your sport of choice, there’s always sports betting action to be had. We’ll have you covered each and every day with our daily best bets. Here are all of our best bets across each major sport in action today.

Today’s Best Bets

Here are today’s best bets.

NFL Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers To Win the NFC South (+400)

While it’s true that this number isn’t quite as long as the +900 or so that was available before the season started, I still think we’re getting plenty of value on a Buccaneers team that has the best WR duo and (I can’t believe I’m saying this) potentially the best QB in the division, especially if Derek Carr misses significant time or regresses due to his shoulder injury.

We saw what happened on Sunday; Jameis Winston promptly blew a 17-point lead to a Packers team that was lifeless through the first three quarters of the game. They also barely squeaked a win out at home in Week 1 against a Tennessee team with major issues on the offensive line and looks to be already underperforming expectations.

The Falcons have shown what their running game can look like in favorable game scripts, but Desmond Ridder has massive limitations, and this offense isn’t anywhere close to their full potential with the way Drake London and Kyle Pitts are being utilized.

That leaves the Panthers, who have already had their No. 1-overall pick miss time due to injury and also lost to both the Falcons and the Saints in games that were really never in doubt.

The biggest pushback to this play would be that Tampa has the toughest remaining schedule of the NFC South teams. Still, if they can win their games in the division, that will offset the rest of their schedule’s strength. Tampa Bay has the highest offensive ceiling of the trio of teams tied at the top of the division, and I don’t have to squint very hard at all to see them winning the NFC South roulette when all is said and done.

Check out our other NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions:

MLB Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians ace Shane Bieber is making his second start since July 9. And while he allowed four earned runs over five innings in his last outing against the Baltimore Orioles, this low total suggests oddsmakers believe he is due to end the season on a high note.

Bieber has held Cincinnati Reds hitters to a combined .197/.252/.385 slash line in 131 combined plate appearances in his career. He has used those outstanding numbers to compile a career 3-0 record in five starts against Cincinnati, the only team he is unbeaten against in more than three starts. Bieber should find success again versus a Reds lineup that ranks 18th in wRC+, 23rd in BABIP and 26th in hard-hit contact over the last 14 days. 

The Reds send southpaw Andrew Abbott to the mound. He has not recorded more than 13 outs in three consecutive starts. However, we expect a bounce-back against a Guardians lineup that ranks dead-last in wOBA and OPS against left-handed pitchers in home games this season. 

Both teams are profitable Under teams, with Cincinnati cashing the Under in 43 of its last 68 games (+16.80 units) and the Under being 88-68 in Cleveland’s previous 156 (+18.15 units). Thus, we are following these trends again and expecting the Under to cash in this series finale.

Bet: Under 7.5 Total Runs (-118)

Check out our other MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions:

College Football Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

#24 Kansas @ #3 Texas

Four games into the season, and it’s somewhat clear that Texas is back. An enormous Red River Rivalry game awaits in Week 6 against a strong Oklahoma team. Could this be a look-ahead spot for the Longhorns? I think it could. Kansas enters Austin hoping to repeat their performance in 2021 and leave with a victory.

There is no sugarcoating it; the Kansas defense isn’t great. Texas should have no issue scoring in this game. The Longhorns have scored 50 or more in three consecutive matchups against the Jawyhawks but managed only two wins. This year, the Jayhawks have shown a decent run defense. They’ll try and make Texas a one-dimensional offense on Saturday, a tactic that worked for teams last year. If they can find a way to fluster QB Quin Ewers, it could stand to benefit them. However, if not, they should be able to keep up with Texas.

Kansas’s offense has been incredibly sharp in the early part of this season. Led by QB Jalon Daniels, they’ve compiled a top 20 SP+ Offense that is a balanced attack of running and passing. It’ll be the biggest test offensively that Texas has had to date. Daniels will be an even better dual threat than they faced against Alabama, who gave them their toughest matchup so far. The Texas defense has been elite but allowed QB Jalen Milroe to have a decent day passing, although he threw two interceptions. Daniels could have similar, if not more, success. This game should turn into a track meet, and that could help Kansas pull off another upset at Texas.

Bet: Kansas Moneyline (+600)

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