Wednesday’s Best NFL, MLB, College Football & PGA Bets (10/4)

by BettingPros Staff |
Oct 04, 2023

No matter your sport of choice, there's always sports betting action to be had. We'll have you covered each and every day with our daily best bets. Here are all of our best bets across each major sport in action today.

Today's Best Bets

Here are today's best bets.

NFL Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)

Cincinnati Bengals To Win the Superbowl (+3500)

This is easily my longest shot highlighted, but I think now is the perfect time to pull out some couch change and sprinkle it on the Bengals to win it all. There's no question that the Bengals offense has been brutally bad, ranking dead last in both points scored and yards gained per drive, second-to-last in net yards per pass attempt and tied for 30th with only two passing TDs. So why should you consider this bet, then?

I think that there's some reason for optimism on the horizon, with winnable matchups at Arizona and at home against a Seahawks team that lost to the Rams (Cincinnati's only win) before a much-needed bye week. If the Bengals can pull off those two victories, they'll be 3-3 coming out of their bye week, definitively healthier than they entered, with a much brighter outlook on the rest of the season. Burrow and Cincinnati lost their first two games of 2022 before reaching a 2-3 record through five games, which is exactly where they will be this season if they beat Arizona on Sunday. A healthy Burrow can get this offense clicking again. If that happens, I have no doubt that they can find their stride and regain the same confidence that had them playing in back-to-back AFC Championship games.

Check out our other NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions:

MLB Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays were never in Game 1 since they did not muster any runs, but they would have had a much better chance if they played better defensively. Tampa Bay made a franchise postseason record four errors, and the Rangers scored their four runs on a sacrifice fly, wild pitch, single and throwing error.

The Rays won 53 games at home this season, tied for the most in the Majors, and we do not expect them to be swept out of the playoffs. Zach Eflin ranked sixth among qualified pitchers with a 23.8% K-BB% in the second half of the season. He is coming off career bests in innings pitched, ERA, WHIP, FIP, strikeout percentage and walk percentage.

We expect Eflin to outduel Rangers righty Nathan Eovaldi, who pitched to a 7.18 ERA over his final seven regular season starts and never recorded more than 15 outs in any of his six September starts. Eovaldi allowed two-plus home runs in three of those outings. If he does not give the team a long outing, he will tax a bullpen that threw the sixth-most innings in September while ranking in the bottom eight in BABIP during that span.

The Rays won six of their last seven regular season home series, and we expect them to force a decisive Game 3 on Thursday behind a starting pitcher that went 3-0 in five September appearances.

Bet: Rays Moneyline (-152)

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College Football Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

#23 LSU @ #21 Missouri

LSU had high hopes of being a National Title contender in 2023. So far, on one side of the ball, they've lived up to the hype. Their offense has been elite, led by QB Jayden Daniels, who has wowed both with his arm and legs. Back-and-forth games against Florida State and Ole Miss, as well as routs in their other matchups, show this offense is firing on all cylinders. Missouri will be in for a long day if they can't slow down this LSU attack.

However, football is a game of offense AND defense. Have we not seen enough from this LSU Tigers team to know they don't deserve to be laying this many points (-6.0) on the road against a ranked opponent? LSU ranks 131st in EPA on passing plays. To put it short, they've been atrocious and cannot stop anyone.

QB Brady Cook for Missouri should have a field day. He's put up 340+ yards, eight TDs and zero INTs in the last three games. They don't have the household names of a Florida State or Ole Miss offense, but this Missouri offense has been every bit as explosive. If LSU wants to make this a track meet, Missouri will oblige.

This won't be an easy win for Missouri, but it won't be easy for LSU either. If the Bayou Bengals take the lead, they'll constantly be looking over their shoulder at another good offense in Missouri. If Mizzou takes a lead, I don't think LSU can get enough stops to get back in it. Either way, this is a game where the last team with the ball could win. In a coin-flip-style game, I'm taking the home team and riding the Missouri Tigers to pull off the longshot upset.

Bet: Missouri Moneyline (+220)

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PGA Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of Circa)

Sanderson Farms Championship

The first golfer to target this week is Tom Hoge, who ended last season in fine form with a 21st-place finish at the BMW Championship after making nine of his previous 12 cuts. He then went over to the European Tour for a pair of tournaments, culminating in a T14 finish at the BMW PGA Championship.

His approach game is to thank for this recent success, gaining strokes in this department in nine of his past 13 tournaments. On TOUR, Hoge ranks ninth in strokes gained on approach, placing him along the likes of Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland.

Given this area of his game and his recent form, Hoge could have a great tournament at the Country Club of Jackson, especially against this watered-down field. He has also fared well on bermudagrass surfaces, gaining strokes putting in three of his past five tournaments when doing so.

Bet: Tom Hoge Outright (+6100)

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2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Picks & Predictions: Longshot Bets

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