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Wednesday’s Best NFL, MLB & WNBA Bets (9/13)

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No matter your sport of choice, there’s always sports betting action to be had. We’ll have you covered each and every day with our daily best bets. Here are all of our best bets across each major sport in action today.

Today’s Best Bets

Here are today’s best bets.

NFL Best Bets

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions

  • Open: DET -4.5 (-110)
  • Current: DET -5.5  (-110)

The Detroit Lions opened the 2023 NFL season in stunning fashion, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 21-20 as 4.5-point underdogs. As for the Seattle Seahawks, they lost to the Los Angeles Rams 30-13 as 4.5-point favorites.

DraftKings Sportsbook opened the line with Detroit as 4.5-point favorites. Since posting the line late Sunday night, this has moved in the Lions’ favor, as they now sit as 5.5 points favorites. With this line moving a full point this early, It looks as if many pro and public bettors are drinking the Lions Kool-Aid early this season.

At the time of write-up, most books have this at 5.5, but we are starting to see other books like Pinnacle moving this line up to 6.0, meaning respected bettors and bigger bets are still coming in on Detroit. 

With more missed extra points happening around the league, the number 6.0 is becoming more of a key number, so this line will be something to watch moving forward. Will more sportsbooks follow Pinnacle and offer 6.0? And if they do, will there be some buyback?

The Lions get the slight rest advantage as they are coming off a Thursday night game and have been excellent covering the spread at home, going 13-4 ATS in Detroit the past two seasons.

Check out our other NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions:

MLB Best Bets

Tampa Bay Rays (-130) vs. Minnesota Twins (+110) | O/U 9 (-112/-108) 

The Minnesota Twins remain in cruise control for an AL Central title, as their competition with every team in the division at least eight games under .500 is historically bad. As a result, Minnesota seems not to be playing with much urgency lately, as it has not won three consecutive games since August 12-15. 

The Twins are 4-0 in Dallas Keuchel’s last four starts but have provided him with nearly six runs per game of support. Tampa Bay Rays righty Taj Bradley may be winless in his previous seven starts while pitching to a 6.55 ERA in that span, but the team has won each of his last two starts, and their 22-9 record against AL Central teams is its best against any division this year.

Bradley has pitched to a 3.97 ERA this month, with most of the damage coming via the long ball, as he has allowed three home runs in 11 â…“ innings. And while the Twins rank in the top five of the league in home runs, Bradley’s ERA, OBA, and GO/AO ratio are all better on the road than at home this season, and his 24.3% fly-ball rate suggests regression should be coming from in the home runs allowed department.

Minnesota has played barely over .500 baseball for its last 131 games (66-65) and has cost bettors money (-19.50 units) in that span. Thus, we prefer to back the more profitable Rays team that has profited bettors +9.15 units this season.

Pick: Rays Moneyline (-130)

Check out our other MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions:

WNBA Best Bets

Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces

The Chicago Sky just squeaked into the playoffs. Hooray!! Their reward? They are facing off against the juggernaut of an Aces team as they find themselves 16.5-point underdogs with an over/under right around 170, depending on what book you look at. To say the Sky has an uphill battle would be the understatement of the century.

What jumps off the page to me is the rebounding disparity expected in this game. The Aces may rank sixth in overall rebound rate, but they lead the league in defensive boards, a category the Sky ranks 11th in. You have to take advantage of every Aces miss, and I don’t trust Chicago to do that.

You also have to stop the Aces from scoring in the first place if you want hopes to win, obviously, but the Chicago defense is sub-par and ranks 11th this year in defensive rating on the road. At least in their last five games, they’ve played solid, so perhaps they can ride some momentum into Vegas.

Both teams shot a lot from beyond the arc, with Chicago surprisingly ranking second in the league in three-point shooting percentage this year. This bodes well for a Sky team that will be forced to take a lot of shots if they plan on keeping up with a significant uptick in pace.

The way I see this playing out is the Aces maintaining a double-digit lead with the Sky staying chippy and continuing to put up a high volume of shots. There will be a whole lot of everything here, and while I expect the spread to be pretty spot on, the total points are not. My main play is the over, but feel free to sprinkle in the player props to go along with it if you’re feeling some SGP action.  

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