Wednesday’s Best NFL, NBA & MLB Bets (11/1)

No matter your sport of choice, there’s always sports betting action to be had. We’ll have you covered each and every day with our daily best bets. Here are all of our best bets across each major sport in action today.

Today’s Best Bets

Here are today’s best bets.

NFL Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Christian McCaffrey To Lead the NFL in Rushing TDs (+350)

Christian McCaffrey currently trails the league leader Raheem Mostert by one TD in this category, with three of Mostert’s TDs coming in Miami’s 70-point outburst against the Broncos. Mostert has also had the backfield to himself for the past three weeks, with rookie sensation De’Von Achane sure to work his way back into the fold when he returns from IR. McCaffrey has logged at least one rushing TD in all but one game this season and in 13 out of his 19 total games on the 49ers.

Despite the recent 49ers swoon, McCaffrey has still found the end zone five total times, with two coming on the ground in those three losses. This play is a sell on Mostert at his peak and a “buy low” on McCaffrey, who remains the focal point on one of the best offenses in the NFL and only needs one rushing TD to be tied for the league lead.

Barring injury, I don’t see how “CMC” doesn’t end the season with the league’s most rushing TDs.

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NBA Best Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets

Similar to last season, the Hornets continue to play at a blisteringly fast pace, leading to high totals and plenty of stat padding to go around. So, it’s only fitting to choose them as the parlay of the day for this Wednesday.

Centers have particularly feasted against this young Charlotte squad. We’re working with a small sample here, but the Hornets have allowed the most points and fifth-most rebounds to big men this season. That isn’t far off from last season, either, and Alperen Sengun was one of the many culprits to go off against them. In two games against them last season, Sengun had 35 and 36 combined points and rebounds. He’s second on the team in usage rate and should be able to go over this line.

No one is dishing more passes out than the newly acquired Fred VanVleet of the Houston Rockets. While that hasn’t quite amounted to the most assists just yet, he is averaging 12 potential assists per game so far this season. “FVV” has averaged close to seven assists per game over the last two seasons and should be able to find at least seven in this game environment. Ben Simmons (eight), Cade Cunningham (six), Trae Young (nine) and Dejounte Murray (six) all have had some success against them in the assist department.

The Hornets need some action in this SGP, especially considering how poorly Houston plays on defense. The Rockets are 27th in defensive net rating, not far off from 29th last year. There’s arguably no one more reliable than Terry Rozier to put up the points for Charlotte, so let’s roll with him. So far this season, he is second on the team in usage and has scored 24, 20 and 23 points across three games.

Houston has allowed Cole Anthony (20 points), Devin Vassell (25), Klay Thompson (19) and Stephen Curry (24) to all fare well against them, and so should Rozier. Over his last four games against Houston, he has put up 25, 31, 27 and 26 points.

Parlay Odds: +700

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MLB Best Bets

Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks

At first glance, this looks like a fishy line, as Texas has not lost a road game this postseason and seems to have all the momentum despite having to remove Adolis Garcia and Max Scherzer from its postseason roster. It is easy to see why Arizona has reason for optimism, given that it saved its three best relievers (Ryan Thompson, Kevin Ginkel and Paul Sewald) for tonight despite deploying a bullpen game yesterday. Those three relievers are a huge reason Arizona’s bullpen entered yesterday with a 2.31 ERA, .197 OBA and a 104-36 K-BB ratio since Sept. 1.

However, getting to those three with a lead will be an arduous task against a Rangers lineup that entered Game 4 averaging 6.1 runs per game with a starting pitching ERA of 2.56 on the road in the postseason and whose run differential in 10 road games is +37.

In its first game without its most feared slugger (Garcia), the Texas lineup made up for the loss, especially with players like Marcus Semien stepping up. Semien was 2-for-16 with runners in scoring position in the first previous three postseason series but had come through with hits in his first two at-bats with runners in scoring position in this series. His Game 4 heroics were a big reason Texas became the third team in World Series history to score 10 or more runs in the first three innings and the first in postseason history to score five-plus runs with two outs in consecutive innings. In addition, the Rangers are also the first team to record double-digit runs in a game in all three rounds of the postseason.

We expect the Rangers to jump on Zac Gallen early, as the Diamondbacks ace is fatiguing down the stretch. Gallen pitched to a 3.18 ERA in his first two postseason starts, but that has spiked to a 6.75 ERA in his last three. Arizona has lost Gallen’s previous three starts by a combined 17-9, so we are getting great value on a Rangers team that has won all five of Nathan Eovaldi’s postseason starts.

Thus, instead of backing Texas to win the game, we are backing its first five innings moneyline, as the Rangers have cashed the first five innings moneyline in 96 of their last 170 games (+28.43 units, 12% ROI).

Pick: Rangers First Five Innings Moneyline (-102)

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