Wizards vs. Timberwolves: Today’s Best NBA Bets & Picks

Here are two of my favorite bets from Thursday’s slate. Below is a deeper dive into Wizards vs. Timberwolves.

And let’s take a look at our other best bets for Thursday:

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

Today’s Best NBA Bets: Wizards vs. Timberwolves

For the season, my NBA best bets have gone 27-15-1 ATS

Wizards vs. Timberwolves

No team is as hot to betting the over as the Minnesota Timberwolves. Don’t bet on this streak to end Thursday night vs. the Wizards. Over their past six games (all of which the Wolves have gone over the point total), the Wolves rate 4th in Pace, 9th in Offensive Rating, and 24th on the Defensive End. Such a style of play is fertile for Over bets and a stark deviation from the norm for this Minnesota team. The sudden change of play is a crucial reason as to why the Wolves have continually gone Over the total, and it is doubtful that oddsmakers have fully accounted for their newfound style of play.

In addition, Minnesota’s injury report is encouraging for those of us betting the Over. The possible absences of both Rudy Gobert and Kyle Anderson would greatly hinder the team on the defensive end, as these two players of two of the Wolves’ three best defenders, and neither player grades out positively on offense (see here for 538’s player ratings).

Those skeptical of this play may point to the Wizards’ O/U record as the road team (18-12-1 to the Under), but it isn’t as though every team the Wolves have played on this streak tends to the Over themselves. Minnesota’s six-game run is a direct result of their own style of play– a style I can’t foresee them departing and one to which we anticipate the Wizards will conform to.

Bet: Over 235.5 (-110)


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