WNBA Finals Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (Game 4)
The 2024 WNBA Finals continue on Friday night with the Game 4 matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty. Check out these WNBA picks and predictions for Liberty vs. Lynx Game 4 on October 18. Note that all betting lines are accurate as of this writing, but shop around for the best odds. Now, enjoy these top WNBA predictions and betting picks!
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Friday’s Best WNBA Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
New York Liberty (-2.5) at Minnesota Lynx - 159.5 O/U (-110/-110)
Friday night brings us Game 4 of the 2024 WNBA Finals between the Lynx and Liberty. On Wednesday, New York won a close one to take a 2-1 series lead. Tonight's result will either crown the Liberty as champs or keep Minnesota alive for a winner-take-all Game 5. Let's see how to bet this one.
When handicapping this Game 4 matchup, it's important to review how the first three games of the Finals have gone. In Game 1, the Lynx came back from an 18-point deficit before eventually stealing the win in overtime. In Game 2, the Liberty won by 12 points but it was just a one-possession game with four minutes to play.
Then in Game 3, with the series shifting to Minnesota, the Lynx had a 15-point lead at one point and even led by four with less than three minutes to go. Yet, New York stormed back and ultimately won it with a last-second three-pointer by Sabrina Ionescu. All three games could've gone either way and we should expect another tight one tonight.
Despite losing on Wednesday, the Lynx's home-court advantage is real. Minnesota was 16-4 at home in the regular season, including 4-1 as a home underdog. The Lynx are now 4-2 at home in the playoffs so far and 3-1 against the spread as dogs in the postseason.
If the Lynx can recover from blowing a lead and losing on a last-second three, then they can pull out a win tonight to even the series. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS against New York this year with four outright wins as underdogs.
In Game 3, the Lynx's strong defense made a statement early. They held the Liberty to just 18 first-quarter points and 35 at the half. Minnesota held opponents to a league-low 41.0% shooting percentage and 27.9% three-point percentage at home this season and that showed early on. This defense is elite at home and needs to maintain the effort for a full four quarters.
This is survival mode for Minnesota with the win-or-go-home scenario. Back the home underdog to cover the spread and consider the outright moneyline as well. The Lynx are 10-3 in games after a loss this year and should have one more strong effort at home before the series heads back to New York.
WNBA Pick: Lynx +2.5 (-110)
For more information on how to bet futures, check out our Betting 101 series>>