WNBA Player Prop Bets, Odds & Picks: Wednesday (9/25)
Welcome to the WNBA playoffs during the best time of year. Fall is here, life is good. We have two playoff games tonight with the Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury on the brink of elimination against the Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx, respectfully. Keep track of any news that may drop in order to stay ahead of the market. Another way is by shopping around for the best odds. Different books will have different odds. The difference between -110 and +100 may seem small but over the entire season, those little differences add up quickly. Now let's get to today's best playoff bets.
Last time: 2-1 | Season: 17-15
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Wednesday’s Best WNBA Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kelsey Mitchell 20+ Points (-125)
I'm in between Kelsey Mitchell here and Caitlin Clark but books seem to offer better value on non-Caitlin Clark-based props. In the first game, the Fever were handled by the Sun 93-69, but the Fever only shot 21 percent from deep, going 6-for-28. Mitchell accounted for 10 of those shot attempts, only making two of them. Clark took 13, also only making two. Mitchell is bound for a bounce back tonight. Across the season, Connecticut has allowed the fewest number of perimeter looks but that number dropped to fifth over their last 10 games. With the Fever pacing as the fastest team in the league, they should control more and try to push the pace. The Sun have the most efficient defense across the last 10 games, which is why this number is so low. However, after struggling in the last game and getting tape and experience on what to expect, it's easy to expect a bounce-back game for Mitchell. If you'd like, you can combine a basic SGP with Mitchell 18+ points (-205) and Clark 18+ points (-210) for a -115 SGP. Mainly this is a buy-the-dip type game as Indiana won't go down without a fight and they will go to their higher-usage players.
Napheesa Collier Over 32.5 Pts + Reb (-120)
We're going to stick with the Overs here as Napheesa Collier should once again dominate against the Phoenix Mercury. I don't expect her to go and score 38 again and it may seem different to buy the dip in prop one and do the basic opposite here but based on the season stats, I can see Collier going off again. Not only is Phoenix the worst defensive rebounding team in the association, hauling in just 65.8 percent of misses, but they allow the highest number of second-chance points in the league. Collier scored 38 points in game one but only hauled in six boards. She is a much more capable rebounder and this will be a directly correlated play more so against the Phoenix Mercury than any other team in the league. This is a sheer opportunity with Collier the best rebounder on the team. She can get there with scoring alone, as made obvious, and the more rebounding done, the more likely Collier can get the scoring up. Feel free to bet her alts but those probably won't be as higher valued than just the straight-up combo prop here. And it's the playoffs, so let’s throw two units on this one.
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