XFL Week 6 Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Last week was arguably the most competitive week of the XFL season. All four games were decided by eight points or fewer. Furthermore, two of last week's wins were by three or fewer points. More importantly, the Houston Roughnecks got kicked from the undefeated ranks in Week 5.
The Seattle Sea Dragons defeated the Roughnecks 21-14 last week. Following their first loss this season, Houston's 2023 championship odds dropped to +205. While they remain the second-favorite to win the title this year, the D.C. Defenders are now heavy favorites at +125.
This week the XFL has some exciting matchups, including a contest between the Roughnecks and Defenders. Regardless of the matchups, there is always make to make, so let's look at some potential XFL bets you should make this week.
Best XFL Bets for Week 6
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Seattle Sea Dragons vs. Orlando Guardians | Guardians +8.5 (-110)
After starting the year with two consecutive losses, the Sea Dragons have won three in a row. They got a seven-point win over the Roughnecks last week. However, their other two victories came over the Vegas Vipers and San Antonio Brahmas. Those two teams have a combined 2-8 record this season. More importantly, Seattle won those two games by an average margin of 6.5 points. Even in their two losses this year, the Sea Dragons have had tight matchups. Over the first five weeks this year, the Sea Dragons have had their games end with an average spread of only 5.2 points.
While the Guardians are the only winless team left this season, their opponents haven’t had easy victories of late. The two times they faced the Roughnecks, the Guardians lost by 21 points in Week 1 and 28 points in Week 4. Meanwhile, Orlando lost by 18 to the Brahmas in Week 2. However, the Guardians have played better lately. Over the past three weeks, two of their losses have been by a combined four points. The other was against Houston again.
The betting market overreacted to the Sea Dragons' win over the Roughnecks last week. Yes, they have won three in a row, while the Guardians are winless. However, Seattle has won by an average of 6.7 points per game this season, and Orlando is beginning to find its way. While the Sea Dragons likely win their fourth consecutive game, expect the Guardians to cover the 8.5-point spread.
St. Louis Battlehawks vs. Vegas Vipers | Battlehawks -3 (-105)
Though the Defenders and Roughnecks are the clear-cut top two teams, the Battlehawks are arguably the best 3-2 team in the league. Their two losses this year have come against the Defenders, and both were by eight points or less. Meanwhile, St. Louis has won by an average of six points in their three victories this year. Furthermore, they had their best win of the year two weeks ago against the Arlington Renegades, winning 24-11.
On the other hand, the Vipers are coming off their first win this season in Week 5, a three-point victory at home over the winless Guardians. Now they face a St. Louis team that has played well. The Vipers have lost by an average of eight points per game this year. Furthermore, Vegas has lost two of their matchups by 12 or more points. While both contests were against the Defenders, bettors shouldn't have much confidence in the Vipers.
This matchup isn't the most exciting on paper. However, we should expect a somewhat easy win for St. Louis. The Battlehawks have played well except for their matchups against the Defenders. Meanwhile, the Vipers have one victory this year against the only winless team in the XFL. This matchup won't be a blowout but expect the Battlehawks to cover the three-point spread on Saturday.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.